Well they (case numbers) are going to keep going up and up is the answer. We were seeing the effective numbers for NSW coming down which was selling us that the rate of acceleration cases was slowing a bit. It’s now gone back up again.
Even in NSW we are not seeing it going anywhere near the peak yet. So numbers will keep going up at an exponential rate unless something else happens
Modelling, as least for South Australia, has put the likely hospitalisation rate at 5%. Now, when you are starting to get 20,000 cases a day, that’s an awful lot of people going into hospital every single day. And taking up beds that other patients need.
So I think states and territories are going to struggle and this will keep going running now for at least a few weeks. We see in the UK the same thing happening. Yes, Omicron is much, much milder which is a wonderful thing, but with sufficient numbers of cases then you will start getting hospitalisations going up.
And we are already seeing that in NSW. And the other thing that no-one mentions is the elephant in the room is long COVID.
And we have our politicians saying oh, look it doesn’t matter if cases go up because hospitalisations aren’t. I’m sorry, but it does matter if cases go up because there will be a reasonable proportion of those cases ending up with long term health problems.
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