Key events
Dmytro Zhyvytskyi, governor of Sumy region, has also updated residents on events overnight. He reports no causalities, but claimed that Russia fired at three settlements, including an attack on railway infrastructure in Krasnopillia. He gave no details of any casualties.
Maksym Kozytskyi, governor of Lviv, has posted his daily operational briefing for residents on Telegram. He says that overnight there were no air alarms in his western region of Ukraine, and that the electricity supply has no scheduled blackouts for today.
The Russian state-owned media agency Tass is reporting that the drone company Filming from the Air has said it is supplying new small imaging drones to the Russian military for use in Ukraine.
Tass quotes a company spokesperson saying that the drones are much cheaper than the Chinese-manufactured equivalent that Russia has been using, and that each “is equipped with a compact thermal imager capable of detecting the presence of enemy forces at any time of the day, and also has the ability to be equipped with a grenade-drop device”.
Tass reports that the company first presented the model in November at an exhibition in Moscow.
Nato countries will discuss their defence spending targets in the coming months as some of them call for turning a 2% target into a minimum figure, Nato secretary general Jens Stoltenberg told the German news agency DPA, according to a Reuters report.
Some allies are strongly in favour of turning the current 2% target into a minimum,” DPA quoted Stoltenberg as saying in an interview published on Tuesday.
Stoltenberg said that he would head the negotiations.
We will meet, we will have ministerial meetings, we will have talks in capitals,” he said.
He did not say which Nato countries were calling for a more ambitious target, according to DPA.
The Nato chief said he aimed to reach an agreement no later than Nato’s next regular summit, which will be in Lithuania’s capital, Vilnius, on 11-12 July.
Ukraine and EU to hold summit in Kyiv on 3 February
Ukraine and the European Union will hold a summit in Kyiv on 3 February to discuss financial and military support, Zelenskiy’s office said in a statement on Monday.
The parties discussed expected results of the next Ukraine-EU summit to be held on 3 February in Kyiv and agreed to intensify preparatory work,” the statement read.
Zelenskiy said he also expects the first tranche of EU macro-financial aid to arrive in January after speaking to European Commission head Ursula von der Leyen on Monday.
He thanked Von der Leyen for her support, adding the €18bn ($19bn) worth of financial assistance “is extremely important right now, when Russia is trying to gather new forces for aggression”.
Moscow plans campaign of drone attacks, Zelenskiy warns
Russia is planning a protracted campaign of attacks with Iranian drones to “exhaust” Ukraine, President Volodymyr Zelenskiy warned in his Monday night address.
It is probably banking on exhaustion. Exhausting our people, our anti-aircraft defences, our energy.”
Ukraine, he said, had to “act and do everything so that the terrorists’ fail in their aim, as all their others have failed.”
Zelenskiy said the country’s forces have shot down more than 80 drones since the start of 2023.
The Ukrainian military claimed to have destroyed 40 Russian drones heading for Kyiv on Sunday night alone, with 15 destroyed over neighbouring regions, three in the Kyiv region and 22 directly over the capital.
Russia ‘unlikely’ to break through near Bakhmut in coming weeks: UK MoD
It is unlikely Russia will achieve a significant breakthrough near Bakhmut in Ukraine’s eastern Donetsk region in the coming weeks, the UK Ministry of Defence has said.
This is due in part to Russia likely conducting offensive operations in the area at only platoon or section level.
“In mid-December, Russian military and Wagner proxy forces likely increased the frequency of their infantry assaults around the Donetsk town of Bakhmut. However, many of these operations were poorly supported,” the ministry noted in its latest intelligence report.
“Over the last 10 days, Ukraine has committed significant reinforcements to defend the sector and the frequency of Russian assaults have likely reduced from the peak in mid-December. Both sides have suffered high casualties.”
A quick snap here from the general staff of Ukraine’s armed forces, which has just released its daily operational report.
The military confirmed an attack by Ukraine’s forces on 31 December on “the enemy’s life force and military equipment” in the town of Chulakivka in the Ukraine’s southern Kherson region.
The enemy’s losses were about 500 soldiers wounded and killed,” the report said.
In the Kherson direction, Russian forces “do not stop shelling settlements along the right bank of the Dnipro River”, the force added.
The Ukrainian strike on a Russian base in Makiivka, Donetsk, has generated “significant criticism of Russian military leadership”, according to a recent report from the Institute for the Study of War (ISW).
In its latest update, the US thinktank said:
Russian MoD is likely attempting to deflect the blame for its poor operational security (OPSEC) on to Donetsk People’s Republic (DNR) officials and mobilised forces, but its vague acknowledgment of the strike nonetheless generated criticism towards the Russian military command.
Such profound military failures will continue to complicate Putin’s efforts to appease the Russian pro-war community and retain the dominant narrative in the domestic information space.”
Makiivka attack sparks renewed criticism in Russia
A number of prominent Russian pro-war bloggers and commentators acknowledged the attack on Makiivka, with many suggesting the number of casualties was higher than the figures officially reported.
“What happened in Makiivka is horrible,” wrote Archangel Spetznaz Z, a Russian military blogger with more than 700,000 followers on Telegram.
Who came up with the idea to place personnel in large numbers in one building, where even a fool understands that even if they hit with artillery, there will be many wounded or dead?” he wrote. Commanders “couldn’t care less” about ammunition stored in disarray on the battlefield, he said. “Each mistake has a name.”
The attack sparked renewed criticism among pro-invasion bloggers and some officials over the state of Russia’s military and the decision to use civilian infrastructure to house soldiers.
Housing personnel in buildings instead of housing them in shelters directly aids the enemy. From the situation in Makiivka it is necessary to draw the toughest conclusions,” wrote Andrey Medvedev, an ultra-conservative journalist who is deputy chairman of Moscow’s city parliament.
Bezsonov called for the punishment of “those guilty of the decision to use the facility. The Donbas has enough objects with strong infrastructure where you can house army personnel.”
Vladlen Tatarsky, a military blogger whom Putin met in the Kremlin in September, called for a tribunal for the Russian military leadership, describing Moscow’s top officers as “untrained idiots”, in a post on Telegram.
Russia’s acknowledgment of scores of deaths in one incident was almost without precedent. Moscow rarely releases figures for its casualties, and when it does the figures are typically low – it acknowledged just one death from among a crew of hundreds when Ukraine sank its flagship cruiser Moskva in April.
Satellite images taken by US-based company Planet Labs dated 20 December and 2 January show the aftermath of Ukraine’s strike on the Russian-held city of Makiivka.
The vocational school reportedly housed recently mobilised troops sent by Moscow when it was hit on 1 January.
Ukraine says enemy equipment destroyed in Makiivka attack
The general staff of Ukraine’s armed forces has said up to 10 units of Russian military equipment of various types in occupied Makiivka were damaged or destroyed in a statement published late on Monday.
Ukraine almost never publicly claims responsibility for attacks on Russian-controlled territory in Ukraine.
But its military reported the Makiivka attack as “a strike on Russian manpower and military equipment”.
On December 31, up to 10 units of enemy military equipment of various types were destroyed and damaged” in the town of Makiivka in the eastern region of Donetsk.
It said the human “losses” were still being established.
Ukraine’s military command initially claimed up to 400 Russian soldiers were killed in the incident in Ukraine’s eastern Donetsk region.
“Santa packed about 400 corpses in bags,” a statement from Ukraine’s department of strategic communications of the armed forces read on Sunday.
Russia’s defence ministry gave a much lower figure and in a rare admission on Monday claimed 63 Russian soldiers died in the strike, the biggest loss of life reported by Moscow so far.
The ministry said four US-supplied Himars missiles struck “a temporary deployment facility”.
Summary and welcome
Hello and welcome back to the Guardian’s live coverage of the war in Ukraine. I’m Samantha Lock and I’ll be bringing you all the latest developments as they unfold over the next few hours.
Following the deadly strike on the Russian-occupied city of Makiivka on New Year’s Day, the general staff of Ukraine’s armed forces said up to 10 units of Russian military equipment in the Donetsk city were damaged or destroyed in a statement published late on Monday. Ukraine almost never publicly claims responsibility for attacks on Russian-controlled territory in Ukraine. But its military reported the Makiivka attack as “a strike on Russian manpower and military equipment”.
Ukraine’s military command initially claimed up to 400 Russian soldiers were killed in the incident in Ukraine’s eastern Donetsk region. Russia’s defence ministry gave a much lower figure, claiming 63 Russian soldiers died in the strike, the biggest loss of life reported by Moscow so far. The Guardian has been unable to confirm an official number of casualties.
As Ukraine reels from a series of devastating strikes aimed at its key infrastructure this week, its president Volodymyr Zelenskiy has warned of further attacks to come. In his latest Monday night address, Zelenskiy said Russia plans a protracted campaign of attacks with Iranian drones to “exhaust” the war-torn country.
For any updates or feedback you wish to share, please feel free to get in touch via email or Twitter.
If you have just joined us, here are all the latest developments:
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The general staff of Ukraine’s armed forces said up to 10 units of Russian military equipment of various types in occupied Makiivka were damaged or destroyed. “On December 31, up to 10 units of enemy military equipment of various types were destroyed and damaged” in the town of Makiivka in the eastern region of Donetsk, the general staff of Ukraine’s armed forces said in a statement published late on Monday. It said the human “losses” were still being established.
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The attack on Makiivka killed dozens of recently mobilised troops sent by Moscow, in what could be one of the deadliest known incidents involving Russian conscripts so far. Ukraine’s military command said up to 400 Russian soldiers were killed in the incident in Ukraine’s eastern Donetsk region, but this claim was not independently verified. Russia’s defence ministry said 63 Russian soldiers died when Ukraine hit “a temporary deployment facility” with four US-supplied Himars missiles.
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Satellite images taken by US-based company Planet Labs that purportedly showing the aftermath of the strike on Makiivka have circulated online, showing the building that allegedly housed the Russian troops before and after it was hit. The images, dated 2 January, show a building almost completely razed to the ground. Unverified footage posted online of the aftermath of the blast also showed a huge building reduced to smoking rubble.
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Several waves of Russian drones targeted critical infrastructure in Ukraine’s capital Kyiv and surrounding areas early on Monday morning. Debris from a destroyed drone hit Kyiv’s northeastern Desnianskiy district, wounding a 19-year-old man who was later taken to hospital, the city’s mayor, Vitali Klitschko, said. Energy infrastructure facilities in the city were damaged, causing power and heating outages.
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Ukraine claims to have destroyed 40 Russian drones heading for Kyiv on Sunday night, with 15 destroyed over neighbouring regions, three in the Kyiv region and 22 directly over the capital. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy said the country’s forces have shot down more than 80 drones since the start of 2023.
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Russia is planning a protracted campaign of attacks with Iranian drones to “exhaust” Ukraine, President Volodymyr Zelenskiy warned in his Monday night address. “It is probably banking on exhaustion. Exhausting our people, our anti-aircraft defences, our energy.” Ukraine, he said, had to “act and do everything so that the terrorists’ fail in their aim, as all their others have failed.”
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Zelenskiy said he expects the first tranche of EU macro-financial aid to arrive in January after speaking to European Commission head Ursula von der Leyen on Monday. Zelenskiy thanked Von der Leyen for her support, adding the €18bn ($19bn) worth of financial assistance “is extremely important right now, when Russia is trying to gather new forces for aggression”.
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Ukraine and the European Union will hold a summit in Kyiv on 3 February to discuss financial and military support, Zelenskiy’s office said in a statement on Monday. “The parties discussed expected results of the next Ukraine-EU summit to be held on 3 February in Kyiv and agreed to intensify preparatory work,” the statement read.
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