The 2021-22 college football bowl season kicks off on Friday, and the first tilt occurs in the midday window. The Toledo Rockets take on the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders in the 2021 Bahamas Bowl to open the slate. Toledo is 7-5 this season with a 5-3 record against MAC foes. MTSU is 6-6 overall and 4-4 against Conference USA opponents.
Kickoff is at noon ET in Nassau. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Rockets as 10-point favorites, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 50.5 in the latest Toledo vs. MTSU odds. Before locking in any MTSU vs. Toledo picks or Bahamas Bowl predictions, be sure to check out what SportsLine’s advanced computer model has to say.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,700 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters the 2021-22 college football bowl season on a 43-29 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Middle Tennessee vs. Toledo and just locked in its Bahamas Bowl 2021 picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Now, here are several college football odds and betting trends for Middle Tennessee vs. Toledo:
- Middle Tennessee vs. Toledo spread: Toledo -10
- Middle Tennessee vs. Toledo over-under: 50.5 points
- Middle Tennessee vs. Toledo money line: Toledo -380, Middle Tenn. +300
- MT: The Blue Raiders are 6-6 against the spread in 2021
- TOL: The Rockets are 7-5 against the spread this season
Featured Game | Toledo Rockets vs. Middle Tenn. Blue Raiders
Why Middle Tennessee can cover
The Blue Raiders are capable of scoring in bunches on offense, averaging nearly 30 points per game and generating 26 touchdown passes in 2021. However, Middle Tennessee is loaded on defense, and that is the team’s strength. The Blue Raiders are in the top five of Conference USA in total defense, allowing fewer than 370 yards per game, and performing above-average against both the run and the pass.
Opponents are averaging only 6.3 yards per pass attempt against Middle Tennessee, with a 59.5 percent completion rate, 16 interceptions and 30 sacks in 12 games. The Blue Raiders are allowing only 128.8 rushing yards per game and 3.7 yards per carry, with opponents scoring only 25.8 points per contest. Senior safety Reed Blankenship is a first-team All-conference selection, leading Conference USA with 106 tackles. Blankenship also has 10 tackles for losses, eight passes defended, three fumble recoveries and two forced fumbles.
Why Toledo can cover
Toledo is a complete team with elite units on both sides of the ball. The Rockets are No. 1 in the MAC in scoring, averaging 34.2 points per game, and Toledo ranks in the top five in passing offense (241.3 yards per game) and rushing offense (193.2 yards per game). Toledo has thrown only two interceptions this season, fewest in the MAC, and the Rockets lead the conference with 5.3 yards per carry. Junior running back Bryant Koback is a star as well, producing more than 1,600 total yards and 18 total touchdowns while averaging 6.7 yards per carry.
On defense, Toledo is No. 1 in the MAC in allowing 21.0 points per game, and the Rockets are No. 2 in total defense and passing defense. Toledo leads the conference in yards allowed per pass attempt (6.3) and sacks (37), with opponents producing only 15 passing touchdowns and completing 55.5 percent of attempts. Toledo also sets the MAC standard in allowing only nine rushing touchdowns and giving up only 3.8 yards per carry in 2021.
How to make MTSU vs. Toledo picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, projecting 55 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can only get the model’s Bahamas Bowl pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Middle Tennessee vs. Toledo? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Middle Tennessee vs. Toledo spread you need to jump on Friday, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.
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