Chelsea and Liverpool are both trying to bounce back when the league heavyweights face off Sunday in an English Premier League match at London’s Stamford Bridge. Chelsea (12-6-2) played to a stunning 1-1 draw on Wednesday when Brighton and Hove Albion equalized in second-half stoppage time. The Reds (12-5-2) suffered a shocking 1-0 loss to Leicester City on Tuesday, and both teams are in need of points. The Blues sit second in the Premier League table, eight points behind Manchester City, and Liverpool is third, nine back with a game in hand. The teams played to a 1-1 draw at Anfield in August.
Kickoff is set for 11:30 a.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists Liverpool as the slight +160 favorite (risk $100 to win $160) on the 90-minute money line in its latest Chelsea vs. Liverpool odds, with Chelsea the +165 underdog. A draw is listed at +245 and the over-under for total goals scored is set at 2.5. Before making any Liverpool vs. Chelsea picks or EPL predictions, you have to see what proven soccer insider Martin Green has to say.
After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. Since then, his European soccer picks have been stunningly accurate. Green has generated more than $37,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season, and he has his finger on the pulse of the game all over the globe.
Now, Green has broken down Chelsea vs. Liverpool from every angle and revealed his coveted picks and EPL predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see his EPL picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Liverpool vs. Chelsea:
- Chelsea vs. Liverpool: Liverpool -0.5 (+150)
- Chelsea vs. Liverpool over-under: 2.5 goals
- Chelsea vs. Liverpool money line: Chelsea +165, Liverpool +160, Draw +245
- Chelsea: It is plus-15 in goal differential at home, outscoring foes 23-8.
- Liverpool: It is plus-18 on the road, scoring 28 goals and conceding 10.
Why you should back Liverpool
The Reds have the firepower to exploit a Chelsea defense that has been dominant but is missing key pieces. Liverpool has allowed just two more goals (16) than the Blues. Mohamed Salah has been the main man for the Reds, who are second in the league with 50 goals. The Egyptian striker has league-highs in goals (15) and assists (nine). He also leads in shots (74) and shots on target (29) as the Reds have more than 19 attempts per game and put more than six on net. They also have a nearly 4 percent edge in possession on Chelsea (63.4 to 59.5).
Diogo Jota (10 goals) and Sadio Mane (seven) also are critical pieces in the attack, and Trent Alexander-Arnold is a dangerous weapon from the back. The defender leads the league in crosses (68) and shot-creating actions (88), peppering the box with accurate balls. He has eight assists and has scored twice. Center-back pairing Virgil Van Dijk and Joel Matip keep threats away from the net, and goalkeeper Alisson is tied for second with nine clean sheets. Liverpool is 5-1-2 with a 16-8 goal advantage in the last eight meetings with the Blues in all competitions.
Why you should back Chelsea
The European champions will be desperate for points and will have the home fans behind them. They have the second-best defensive record in the league, allowing just 14 goals in 20 games, and have scored the third-most (43). Both of Liverpool’s losses came in away games, while Chelsea has lost once at Stamford Bridge. The Blues are missing some defenders, notably Thiago Silva, Reece James and Ben Chilwell. Still, Antonio Rudiger, Cesar Azpilicueta and Trevoh Chalobah can provide solid protection in front of elite goalkeeper Edouard Mendy.
Mendy has eight clean sheets and is second in the league in save percentage at 82.8. The Blues could be without Kai Havertz and Timo Werner, but Mason Mount is the catalyst of the attack and Romelu Lukaku is a top-flight striker. Mount has seven goals and five assists, and Lukaku has five goals in 13 matches. They are among the 16 Blues players with at least a goal. American star Christian Pulisic has two goals in 10 games (six starts) and could play a key role. Chelsea kept the Reds scoreless while a man down the entire second half in the August match.
How to make Chelsea vs. Liverpool picks
Green has analyzed Liverpool vs. Chelsea from every angle, and he is leaning over on the goal total. He also provides three confident best bets, including a play that returns plus-money, and gives his full breakdown of the match. He’s only sharing his expert Premier League picks at SportsLine.
So who wins Liverpool vs. Chelsea? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for Chelsea vs. Liverpool, all from the European soccer expert who has generated more than $37,000 for $100 bettors over the past four seasons, and find out.
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