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Home Business Asia

Pakistan Welcomes Starlink. But Can It Deliver on Its Promise? – The Diplomat

by Theinsightpost
March 29, 2025
in Business Asia
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Pakistan Welcomes Starlink. But Can It Deliver on Its Promise? – The Diplomat

On March 21, 2025, Pakistan granted a temporary No Objection Certificate (NOC) to Starlink, the satellite internet service developed by Elon Musk’s SpaceX, allowing it to begin operations in the country. The decision, issued after consensus among regulatory and security bodies, marks a milestone in Pakistan’s ongoing effort to modernize its digital infrastructure and deliver internet access to underserved regions. Starlink’s approval sets the stage for a potential leap forward in connectivity, particularly for rural, remote, and conflict-prone areas that remain beyond the reach of fiber optics and reliable mobile data coverage.

In Pakistan, the digital divide is not merely a technological issue; it is an economic and social barrier. While the country has over 142 million broadband subscriptions, nearly 99 percent are mobile-based, and fixed broadband penetration remains under 1 percent. Still, the economic potential is hard to ignore. Pakistan’s digital economy is steadily expanding – IT exports hit $3.2 billion in fiscal year 2024 – and more than 1.5 million freelancers are already contributing to global platforms from across the country. But most of that growth is happening in big cities. 

In rural Pakistan, untapped talent remains offline, not by choice, but because the infrastructure simply isn’t there. Starlink could help close that gap – if the rollout is inclusive and thoughtfully managed. Starlink could empower a new generation of freelancers, online entrepreneurs, and remote workers in smaller towns and villages, provided access is widespread and affordable. The small and medium enterprise (SME) sector, which contributes nearly 40 percent of GDP and employs over 80 percent of Pakistan’s non-agricultural workforce, could benefit from stable, high-speed internet to adopt digital tools, cloud platforms, and e-commerce models.

Education stands to gain even more. Pakistan has over 22 million out-of-school children, with the highest concentrations in regions that also suffer from poor internet access. Less than 15 percent of public schools nationwide are connected to the internet – and in rural areas, that number drops below 10 percent. In Balochistan, for instance, 65 percent of school-age children are out of school. During the COVID-19 pandemic, only a small percentage of rural households could access any form of digital learning. Starlink can change this equation by enabling digital classrooms, national curriculum portals, and virtual teacher training in regions where qualified educators are scarce or security risks prevent regular school attendance. Especially for girls in conservative areas, home-based online education could offer a culturally acceptable and practical solution to improve literacy and life outcomes.

The healthcare sector, too, is poised for transformation. Telemedicine has long been touted as a solution for Pakistan’s rural health deserts, but without broadband, its reach has remained limited. With Starlink, remote clinics in places like Chitral, Dera Bugti, or Tharparkar could finally access diagnostic platforms, connect with specialists in urban hospitals, and digitize patient records. This could reduce maternal mortality, improve early disease detection, and allow real-time responses to outbreaks – all without the need for new brick-and-mortar hospitals.

Yet the promise of Starlink is constrained by its cost. At present, Starlink’s projected pricing in Pakistan is approximately 35,000 Pakistani rupees per month (around $120), plus 110,000 rupees (around $375) in equipment costs. For perspective, the average rural household in Pakistan earns between 20,000–30,000 rupees per month. A typical 10 Mbps unlimited home broadband package costs around 1,500–2,000 rupees ($5-7) – affordable to urban middle-class households but often out of reach for rural families. 

Mobile data is cheaper in small bites, with 1 GB available for as little as 60 rupees ($0.21). This explains why mobile broadband accounts for nearly all of Pakistan’s internet usage. Starlink’s pricing model, unless localized or subsidized, effectively excludes the vast majority of Pakistanis. To unlock broader access, scalable solutions such as shared community terminals, school- or hospital-based access hubs, or tiered data plans would be essential.

This affordability challenge has been addressed in other countries with notable success. Take Kenya, for example. When Starlink launched there in mid-2023, it didn’t come in with a one-size-fits-all pricing model. Instead, it introduced flexible plans – as low as $10 a month in some cases – and rolled out shared-access terminals for villages. Within a year, over 8,000 Kenyans had signed up, and the move pushed local ISPs to adjust their prices in response. With public agencies stepping in to support deployment, Starlink witnessed an nearly 2,000 percent increase in subscriptions. 

In Ukraine, Starlink wasn’t just a convenience – it became a lifeline. After Russia’s invasion disrupted the country’s fiber networks, Starlink terminals helped keep hospitals, government offices, and even military units online. By 2024, Ukraine had deployed more than 42,000 terminals across the country. Officials there said it made the difference between being cut off and staying operational during some of the darkest days of the war.

India, on the other hand, offers a cautionary tale. Back in 2021, Starlink started accepting pre-orders from Indian users – without first securing a license. That didn’t sit well with regulators. The government responded with public warnings and forced the company to refund customers. Since then, India has been working to develop a proper regulatory framework for satellite internet, but Starlink’s rollout has remained on hold.

In contrast, Pakistan seems to be taking a more deliberate approach. It started with a temporary NOC, and is now reviewing licensing, spectrum use, cybersecurity, and interception protocols before giving Starlink full clearance to operate.

Still, even with regulatory checks in place, security is going to be a tough balancing act. In some parts of Pakistan – especially areas like Balochistan or the tribal belt – the state has occasionally restricted mobile services during military operations. A satellite service like Starlink, which doesn’t depend on local telecom towers, could potentially allow both state and nonstate actors to bypass those blackouts. 

There’s a real risk that unregistered terminals could be used for encrypted communication or to spread propaganda. That’s why Pakistan will need tight import controls, clear registration requirements, and maybe even geofencing agreements with Starlink to prevent misuse. There’s also the question of data sovereignty. Since Starlink routes traffic through foreign servers, Pakistani regulators will need to make sure they have the legal tools to monitor traffic when necessary and protect against cybersecurity threats.

That said, the potential upside is massive and it fits well with Pakistan’s long-term digital goals. The government’s Digital Pakistan Vision, the Universal Service Fund (USF), and the National Security Policy 2022–2026 all point toward a common objective: expanding access, building economic resilience, and strengthening digital infrastructure. Between 2018 and 2022, the USF helped connect more than 3.3 million people to broadband – mostly through fiber and mobile projects. But there are still places where laying cable or building towers just isn’t practical. In those areas, Starlink might be the best – or only – option. The USF could consider subsidizing terminals for schools, clinics, or community centers in such regions. In times of disaster or emergency, the technology could also give backup connectivity to local governments, hospitals, or rescue teams, especially in areas vulnerable to floods, earthquakes, or sabotage.

What happens next will depend on how Pakistan manages the Starlink rollout. If pricing reflects real incomes, if terminals are regulated smartly, and if partnerships are forged with schools, hospitals, and local governments, Starlink could become more than just another ISP. It could be a public utility of the future – especially in places the telecom industry has left behind.

Of course, it’s not going to replace existing networks. Fiber and mobile infrastructure will remain the backbone of the country’s internet ecosystem. But in the gaps between those systems – in the valleys, deserts, and disaster zones – Starlink could be the bridge that finally brings the rest of the country online. And for millions of Pakistanis, that connection could open the door to opportunity, knowledge, and safety in a way that’s never been possible before.

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