We’re two hours away from the particular votes being launched and the general election final result being made public.
Discover our full explainer on what we are able to anticipate at 2pm right here – or learn on for the seats sitting on a knife edge.
Te Atatū
It’s been one of many most secure Labour seats within the nation for greater than 20 years, however this West Auckland seat is at the moment the closest race out of any citizens. Lengthy-serving MP Phil Twyford has had his 11,000 vote majority destroyed and, on election night time, misplaced the seat by simply 30 votes.
Twyford has held the seat since 2011 however given his low record rating can be turfed out of parliament if he doesn’t sneak again on this afternoon. He’s up towards newcomer Angee Nicholas from Nationwide, who can be too far down the record to make it into parliament with out the win.
Nelson
Nelson was all the time anticipated to be shut, however was it anticipated to be 54 votes shut? Most likely not. This was seen by some as Nationwide territory, the previous seat of the city’s present mayor Nick Smith. In that regard, and given the closeness of the races in lots of seats Labour was anticipated to triumph in, the truth that Rachel Boyack trails Nationwide’s Blair Cameron by such a slim margin is a reasonably outstanding displaying.
Banks Peninsula
Simply 83 votes separate Nationwide newcomer Vanessa Weenink and sitting Labour MP Tracey McLellan in what was one of many tightest races of election night time. It is a comparatively new citizens. Whereas it was fashioned initially within the Nineteen Nineties, it was changed by the seat of Port Hills between 2008 and 2020. Labour’s Ruth Dyson held each between 1999 and 2020 (when McLellan gained). If the particular votes favour Labour, this seat might simply flip again to McLellan.
Mount Albert
The previous seat of prime ministers Helen Clark and Jacinda Ardern, together with Labour chief David Shearer, Mount Albert is the strongest of Labour strongholds. At the least it was till October 14 when first-term MP Helen White spent a lot of the night time trailing Nationwide’s Melissa Lee. On the closing hurdle, she jumped forward by simply 106 votes – effectively throughout the margin of error.
If White doesn’t maintain on, that may very well be the top of her short-lived political profession. With a loss so surprising, it will be exhausting to see her making a comeback on the subsequent election.
New Lynn
On the preliminary depend, Labour’s Deborah Russell is out of her citizens (she’s in on the provisional record) and Nationwide newcomer Paulo Garcia is in. The margin is roughly 400 votes, which is likely to be simply an excessive amount of for Russell to claw again until the specials err closely in the direction of Labour. This was one other stunning outcome – New Lynn has been a protected haven for Labour because the Sixties (although, when it was briefly folded into Titirangi within the Nineteen Nineties, it went to Nationwide simply as soon as).
Te Tai Tokerau
Te Pāti Māori exceeded expectations on election night time, selecting up 4 of the seven Māori seats together with shock wins in Hauraki-Waikato (the place Nanaia Mahuta misplaced) and Te Tai Tonga. In Te Tai Tokerau, the occasion might be gunning to select up a fifth seat.
On the preliminary depend, high-profile Labour MP – and the occasion’s deputy – Kelvin Davis is main by roughly 400 votes over Mariameno Kapa-Kingi. Not like the earlier electorates on this record, that are all Nationwide v Labour battles, this can be a competitors between two events heading into opposition. However what makes it fascinating is the overhang side mentioned earlier and the truth that if Te Pāti Māori wins, it can decide up an extra seat and will enhance the general complete within the Home as soon as once more.
Tāmaki Makaurau
It’s the same state of affairs within the sweeping Auckland seat of Tāmaki Makaurau, the place Labour’s Peeni Henare holds a 500-ish vote lead over Takutai Tarsh Kemp. This hasn’t been the most secure of seats for Labour (Henare beat John Tamihere in 2020 by simply over 1,000 votes), however the closeness of the race was nonetheless a shock. Henare’s profile has elevated over the previous time period and there was discuss of him changing into a future occasion chief. That is one to look at.
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