Its not going to work, is it?
Its going to be impossible to build enough cars to maintain EV sales at present ICE levels because of raw material shortages. The ones that get made are going to cost 1.5 to 2x ICE prices. Then there is the used market. The batteries are the biggest cost component, and how do you know what state they are in? Used ICE prices fall very fast, but with that hanging over you they will not seem cheap. Expect major buyer reluctance.
Then there is the usage pattern. Range is far lower, refuel times are 5-10 times as long. Even with fast charging, they are far longer, and that destroys the batteries. So they will simply be unusable for some uses.
People say about this last point that most trips are short. Yes, most are, but the ability to make the minority of longer trips is a lot of the reason why people buy ICE cars at present. The perceived value proposition of buying a strictly local runabout is very different from that of buying a current ICE car.
Then there is insurance. Even if you can buy one, get your use pattern right, increasingly you won’t be able to afford to insure it, if you can even find an underwriter. And increasingly, with the fires, even if you get it insured, there will be restrictions on where you can park it, which will affect usage.
I do not think that running cities as we do now with the total domination by cars and trucks is the answer. Its people endlessly driving at speed through living neighborhoods in order to get to someplace else, and destroying quality of life as they do it. It does need a rethink. But that is a rethink of the car and what our priorities are, its not a matter of the particular technology of the car.
Its impossible to believe that trying to just carry on as now while replacing ICE with EV is going to solve that problem. The idea that its going to reduce global emissions is also a fantasy, it depends on the idea that you can double or triple electricity demand, while at the same time converting generation to wind. Pure fantasy.
What will happen if political leaders carry on insisting on the conversion? The most obvious likely outcome is a great reduction in car sales, ownership and use. And that, that will have collateral consequences for social and economic life which have never been seriously looked at. They will be huge. They will probably not fully arrive for 10 years after the new ICE ban date, because people will just drive their old cars into the ground. But the effects of falling new car sales will make themselves apparent much sooner. Expect political fallout, too.