Greens secure ‘hard cap’ on emissions
Adam Bandt continues:
Under the original design of the safeguard mechanism, pollution from coal and gas was going to go up.
For those who are interested in the numbers, the pollution from the entities covered by the safeguard mechanism was, is about 140 megatonnes now.
Under the projections, under Labor’s scheme, it was going to go up between 155 and 184 megatonnes.
That’s how much Labor wanted to expand coal and gas in their original safeguard design.
Any good climate policy should be stopping that, but Labor wanted to expand it. So as you know, the Greens have been pushing hard on new coal and gas because coal and gas are the main causes of the climate crisis and as the UN secretary general has said if we’re to get the climate crisis under control, we have to stop opening coal and gas mines.
The Greens, through the negotiations, have secured a big hit on coal and gas. There will now be, in legislation, a hard cap on actual emissions that the safeguard sector can emit.
This puts a limit on coal and gas expansion in this country. In fact, the limit must decline over time.
This means a huge number of those 116 coal and gas projects in the pipeline will not be able to go ahead.
This cap will be a hard cap on actual emissions and the coal and gas corporations will not be able to offset their way out of it, no matter how many offsets they buy.
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Subject to any appeal, the decision means he again faces the prospect of a criminal trial for his alleged actions prior to blowing the whistle to the ABC on the ATO’s aggressive pursuit of debts.
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The decision has prompted immediate reaction.
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Human Rights Law Centre senior lawyer Kieran Pender said it shows the utter weaknesses of the public interest disclosure act (PID Act).
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Pender called for comprehensive reforms, including the establishment of a whistleblower protection authority. He also called on attorney-general Mark Dreyfus to intervene and end the prosecution.
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\n
Today’s decision is a major blow for Australian democracy. Whistleblowers should be protected, not prosecuted – and the Public Interest Disclosure Act was enacted to ensure just that. The court’s decision that Boyle’s whistleblowing on wrongdoing within the Australian Taxation Office was not covered by the PID Act shows that the law is utterly broken.
\n
This prosecution, and that of war crimes whistleblower David McBride, are unjust and undemocratic. The whistleblowing laws enacted by Mark Dreyfus when he was Attorney-General in 2013 have now failed both men. There is no public interest in either prosecution and it is high-time that Dreyfus intervened to drop both cases, just as he dropped the Collaery case.
\n
The decision today only underscores the urgent need for law reform to ensure whistleblower protections are real and don’t just exist on paper. The Attorney-General should prioritise comprehensive reform to the PID Act and the establishment of a whistleblower protection authority. Whistleblowers make Australia a better place and our laws need to reflect that.
\n
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Adam Bandt continues:
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\n
Under the original design of the safeguard mechanism, pollution from coal and gas was going to go up.
\n
For those who are interested in the numbers, the pollution from the entities covered by the safeguard mechanism was, is about 140 megatonnes now.
\n
Under the projections, under Labor’s scheme, it was going to go up between 155 and 184 megatonnes.
\n
That’s how much Labor wanted to expand coal and gas in their original safeguard design.
\n
Any good climate policy should be stopping that, but Labor wanted to expand it. So as you know, the Greens have been pushing hard on new coal and gas because coal and gas are the main causes of the climate crisis and as the UN secretary general has said if we’re to get the climate crisis under control, we have to stop opening coal and gas mines.
\n
The Greens, through the negotiations, have secured a big hit on coal and gas. There will now be, in legislation, a hard cap on actual emissions that the safeguard sector can emit.
\n
This puts a limit on coal and gas expansion in this country. In fact, the limit must decline over time.
\n
This means a huge number of those 116 coal and gas projects in the pipeline will not be able to go ahead.
\n
This cap will be a hard cap on actual emissions and the coal and gas corporations will not be able to offset their way out of it, no matter how many offsets they buy.
\n
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ATO whistleblower Richard Boyle will face a trial and potential prison term after the South Australian district court denied his application to be considered immune from prosecution under the Public Interest Disclosure Act.
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Boyle’s case was a significant test for whistleblower protections, and the reasons for the decision have been put under an interim suppression order.
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Guardian Australia understands that the Greens have met this morning and approved a deal with the Albanese government on the safeguard mechanism.
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The deal stops short of endorsing the Greens’ demand for no new coal and gas projects, which the climate and energy minister, Chris Bowen, has repeatedly ruled out.
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Last week we reported that Labor could agree to treat existing non-fossil fuel industries – such as cement, aluminium and steel – differently to new coal and gas developments in a bid to reach agreement with the Greens on a signature climate policy.
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We expect an announcement later this morning with the details.
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ANZ chief executive Shayne Elliott believes recent bank collapses overseas have more in common with the savings and loans disaster that gripped the US in the 1980s than the global financial crisis.
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The comments, posted on the bank’s website on Monday, come amid a turbulent period for the sector, triggered by the collapse of California-based Silicon Valley Bank, and Switzerland government-backed rescue of Credit Suisse.
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There are growing fears of contagion after investors also sold-down shares in Germany’s biggest lender, Deutsche Bank, late last week.
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Elliott said:
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\n
The GFC was fundamentally a crisis around the quality of assets and the loans that banks make, and that’s not what the risk is here.
\n
This is a different issue. This is really to do with the global war on inflation and how central banks are raising rates very quickly in order to combat that, and that has casualties.
\n
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The 1980s savings and loans crisis came during a period of rising interest rates that cut the profitability of many lenders in the US. The lenders were also not able to attract enough depositors, eroding the stability of bank operations.
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This differs from the GFC collapses from 2008, which were linked to banks making excessive bets on the US subprime mortgage market.
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Elliott said the recent banking issues in the US and Europe could turn into a broader financial disaster, adding it was too early to tell.
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\n
Every five to 10 years there’s something going on in the world. And so we shouldn’t be surprised, in a funny way, that things like this happen.
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It’s too early to call it – I mean, it’s a crisis for some, obviously – but is it a financial crisis, who knows? Does it have the potential to be one? Yes, it does.
\n
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The International Monetary Fund has gently told China to shift its economic model to favour consumption over investment and make lifting productivity a priority to lower its greenhouse gas emissions to the benefit of all.
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In a speech to the 2023 China Development Forum in Beijing on Sunday, Kristalina Georgieva, the IMF’s managing director, noted that China’s faster growth would help buoy economies in the region (including Australia’s, which she didn’t mention).
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The IMF reckons China’s GDP growth will quicken to 5.2%, or about 2 percentage points faster than in 2022.
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“The robust rebound means China is set to account for around one third of global growth in 2023,” Georgieva said. “A 1 percentage point increase in GDP growth in China leads to 0.3 percentage point increase in growth in other Asian economies, on average—a welcome boost.”
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That’s all well and good – and perhaps a reason why Victorian premier Dan Andrews is flying to China to spruik that state’s economic prospects, including for foreign students.
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But more interesting is the IMF’s advice about the need for China to “rebalance the economy away from investment and towards more consumption-driven growth that is more durable, less reliant on debt, and will also help address climate challenges”.
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Such a shift would lift productivity of the economy by around 18% by 2037, helping to offset the pressures of a shrinking economy. But the benefits go further, particularly if the world’s biggest greenhouse gas emitter acts to cut pollution.
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“,”elementId”:”2f260813-167c-4ea0-9aa4-903b5abd881f”}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”summary”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1679872374000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”19.12 EDT”,”blockLastUpdated”:1679872422000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”19.13 EDT”,”blockFirstPublished”:1679872423000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”19.13 EDT”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”19.13″,”title”:”IMF nudges China to shift economic focus, cut carbon emissions”,”contributors”:[{“name”:”Peter Hannam”,”imageUrl”:”https://i.guim.co.uk/img/uploads/2022/07/01/Peter_Hannam.jpg?width=300&quality=85&auto=format&fit=max&s=5645b13ac19b7cad16846f1f9990d442″,”largeImageUrl”:”https://i.guim.co.uk/img/uploads/2022/07/01/Peter_Hannam.png?width=300&quality=85&auto=format&fit=max&s=79eac68f28963e85663c23ea15fa31de”}],”primaryDateLine”:”Sun 26 Mar 2023 21.04 EDT”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First published on Sun 26 Mar 2023 16.32 EDT”},{“id”:”6420cede8f08b7a5ff80b172″,”elements”:[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
Communications minister Michelle Rowland says the federal government is considering the possibility of further regulating dating apps, as the commonwealth continues its investigation of online safety around the services.
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Further to Rowland’s morning media interviews, which Amy brought you earlier, the minister gave a short doorstop press conference in the Parliament House press gallery this morning.
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Her office this morning announced Rowland had “issued a detailed information request to the top ten online dating services used by Australians about the extent of harms occurring on their services, and the safety policies and procedures they have in place to keep their Australian users safe”.
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That information includes the number of reports the apps had received about sexual harassment and abuse, user bans, referrals to police, and the processes in place to keep banned users from creating new accounts.
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Rowland said research had found three in four Australians using the apps have experienced some form of harm, but also that dating apps are the most common way to meet a new partner for young people, so the government was looking at further action.
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Rowland said in her doorstop:
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If we don’t get the kinds of responses we think should be forthcoming, we will consider further regulation here.
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One of them could be, and this isn’t novel because it’s used across broadcasting and telco sectors, is some form of code of practice that is devised by the industry which could be subject to regulatory oversight and enforcement.
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Work is still ongoing with state and territory attorneys general, the federal eSafety commissioner and relationship services, but Rowland said the recent focus on the sector – including a roundtable on safety in January – had seen apps voluntarily set up their own extra safety features.
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It’s pleasing to see the focus on this area has had the effect of incentivising regulation in this area, with some of these dating apps introducing new safety features. Some of them, we’ve questioned why they are behind some paywall services because everyone should be entitled to safety.
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It’s pleasing this has already focused the minds of these app providers on what they need to do better.
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In a release this morning, Rowland and social services minister Amanda Rishworth said the government would “continue to put pressure on online dating services to be transparent about the safety of their users, making clear that services will be held to account for sexual harassment and abuse facilitated by their platforms”.
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Good morning from the Victorian parliament. In an hour’s time, a special party room meeting will be held by Liberal leader John Pesutto to expel Moira Deeming from the parliamentary party.
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Pesutto has sought to expel Deeming after she attended a rally headlined by British anti-transgender activist Kellie-Jay Keen where neo-Nazis were photographed performing the Nazi salute last weekend. Deeming has denied wrongdoing.
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The vote has been considered an early test for Pesutto, who took over the leadership following November’s election loss vowing to bring the party back to the centre after years of infighting between socially liberal and conservative MPs.
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There are 31 members in the state Liberal party room, meaning Pesutto needs at least 16 votes for his motion to succeed. Unsurprisingly, he’s found support for his motion from the party’s moderate faction, while those opposing are from the conservative faction of the party and former leadership rivals.
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Polwarth MP Richard Riordan, who last week made a failed attempt to delay the vote, arrived at parliament early and was seen with fellow conservative MP Joe McCracken. It is believed they will be voting against the motion along with Chris Crewther, Renee Heath, Ann-Marie Hermans and Bev McArthur.
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Guardian Australia has spoken to several Liberal MPs who have suggested should Deeming be expelled, Pesutto could still face instability in the long term unless his motion has a “resounding victory”.
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My colleague Adeshola Ore and I will have updates throughout the morning.
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Welcome to the last sitting week before the budget!
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Labor is hoping the message from NSW will carry over into its safeguard negotiations so it can wrap them up in time for its 1 July carbon trading deadline – but the Greens are also pointing to the more progressive vote to try to prod the government into going further.
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The same battle is playing out over the housing future fund. The Greens think the government can go further than 30,000 homes in the first five years. David Pocock and Jacqui Lambie agree. Labor says it has the balance right but that doesn’t mean anything if it can’t convince the Senate.
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The government’s workplace gender equality bill will be introduced this week to try to close the gender pay gap (companies will have to publish their gap with the idea being transparency will bring about change) and, on Thursday, the wording for the Indigenous voice to parliament will be introduced in the house.
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So it’s a busy week. And one starting with Labor on a high from its win in NSW. You may have noticed the Coalition wasn’t mentioned in that legislation negotiation rundown – that’s because it’s written itself out of the negotiations by saying no from the beginning.
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Today the federal Coalition party room will have a bit of reckoning of its own – mainland Australia is wall-to-wall red. John Howard has told the Australian newspaper that Labor’s hold on power is “brittle” and won’t last long. The Queensland election is not until October 2024 and that will be the first chance the LNP has to win back some power, so it’s going to last a little over a year and a half (unless, of course, the rumours Anthony Albanese will call a snap election for early next year play out).
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Unlike 2007, the Coalition is still trying to work out what it stands for. All those seeds Howard planted, turning the Liberal party into a party of conservatives, have now borne fruit. This IS Howard’s party and voters haven’t exactly embraced it. Demographic changes mean younger voters hold the power now and they are, so far, becoming more progressive. Yet the overwhelming calls from within the Coalition house have been to go further to the right to win back voters.
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It’s going to be a long ride.
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So strap in as we take you through today. You have Amy Remeikis on the blog, with Mike Bowers in the hallways (yay).
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Paul Karp, Josh Butler and Daniel Hurst are in Canberra while the rest of the Guardian brains trust will keep you updated on what’s happening beyond Capital Hill.
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Ready?
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Key events
Seems like there is some movement in the Victorian Liberal party room.
Chris Bowen runs to meet his speech obligations in the chamber.
A reporter asks Anthony Albanese if the safeguard legislation is something the Indigenous voice to parliament would have an impact on.
Albanese seems very exasperated:
Of all the very strange questions I have been asked about the Voice, that’s up there. You know, the Voice is about matters that directly affect Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people. That’s what it’s about and people shouldn’t look for on the Voice distractions. But they can if they want, they can ask all sorts of things about whether it will, you know, give advice on who should play five-eighth for Souths this week, but that is not what it is about.
…The Voice is not about defence policy. It’s not about foreign affairs policy, it’s not about these issues. The Voice is about issues that directly affect Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people.
Chris Bowen on whether the Greens amendments will stop projects like the Beetaloo basin by stealth:
In terms of the facts we always wanted aggregate pollution, absolute pollution, to come down. That’s why creating safeguard mechanism credits to incentivise that. It’s appropriate that be represented in the Act and if for whatever reason that cap is being approached, the obligation on me is then to publicly consult, to amend the rules if I regard that, safeguard rules, that is the best approach or to take other policy actions. Others can, you know, reach conclusions about the implications. In terms of your question how I’ll act – I’ll act according to the advice and the best policy available to the Government at the time and I’m sure future ministers of the day would.
Chris Bowen, always a fast talker, is talking at triple speed today, as he has to run to the chamber very shortly to see the bill pass the House (and to give the summation to the debate).
Energy minister Chris Bowen says the agreement with the Greens is in line with the “spirit” of the policy.
They do two things – strengthen accountability, transparency and integrity of the scheme, and secondly, provide extra support for those strategic manufacturing industries that are so important for our economy and transition as well.
In the interests of time, I have to go into the House to make sure it passes the House in a few minute. I’ll run you through the top lines briefly. Of course, I previously announced the government had previously announced $600 million of support for safeguard facilities.
Also announcing an extra $400 million for those key strategic industries for the transition to ensure their ongoing presence in Australia as a sovereign capability – steel, aluminium and cement. In addition, for manufacturing, as well as a 3% revenue test for a reduced baseline, reproducing a new test based on the cost of abatement as a percentage of profit, which will support manufacturing.
We are also making clear our intention in the act that … emissions must reduce over time, expressed as a five-year rolling arch, to take into account any short-term fluctuations. If the cap in terms of pollution, if the advice to me is that it would be exceeded, then I must consult on my policy options and as the minister of the day, either amend the rules or take any other policy action available to the government at that time.
Back to the safeguard mechanism press conference Anthony Albanese and Chris Bowen are holding, the PM can’t help but throw in a few digs at the opposition:
The safeguard mechanism is the vehicle to achieve our commitment for 43% reduction by 2030.
That is a precondition as well for our engagement in the region and the world.
We need to act on climate change. We can’t afford to continue to engage in conflict in this place in order to try to get the perfect outcome.
And I’m pleased that the crossbenchers, in particular the Greens party, have held a press conference, I understand, and indicated their support.
I want to thank the crossbenchers who have engaged constructively. It says a lot about the state of the Liberal and National parties in 2023 that in spite of the election result, they have excluded themselves from any participation. They’re the observers of Australian politics rather than the participants.
I believe that we have a responsibility to participate and to achieve real solutions, to achieve real outcomes, to protect our manufacturers, to grow our economy while we’re dealing with emissions reduction.
We have a huge opportunity to be a renewable energy superpower. We have an opportunity to take advantage of the fact we’re in the fastest-growing region of the world in human history.
Whistleblower ruling ‘a major blow for democracy’, rights lawyer says
Christopher Knaus
As my colleague Tory Shepherd has just reported, Richard Boyle, the Australian taxation office whistleblower, has lost his bid to use the nation’s whistleblowing protection laws to shield himself from criminal prosecution.
Subject to any appeal, the decision means he again faces the prospect of a criminal trial for his alleged actions prior to blowing the whistle to the ABC on the ATO’s aggressive pursuit of debts.
The decision has prompted immediate reaction.
Human Rights Law Centre senior lawyer Kieran Pender said it shows the utter weaknesses of the public interest disclosure act (PID Act).
Pender called for comprehensive reforms, including the establishment of a whistleblower protection authority. He also called on attorney-general Mark Dreyfus to intervene and end the prosecution.
Today’s decision is a major blow for Australian democracy. Whistleblowers should be protected, not prosecuted – and the Public Interest Disclosure Act was enacted to ensure just that. The court’s decision that Boyle’s whistleblowing on wrongdoing within the Australian Taxation Office was not covered by the PID Act shows that the law is utterly broken.
This prosecution, and that of war crimes whistleblower David McBride, are unjust and undemocratic. The whistleblowing laws enacted by Mark Dreyfus when he was Attorney-General in 2013 have now failed both men. There is no public interest in either prosecution and it is high-time that Dreyfus intervened to drop both cases, just as he dropped the Collaery case.
The decision today only underscores the urgent need for law reform to ensure whistleblower protections are real and don’t just exist on paper. The Attorney-General should prioritise comprehensive reform to the PID Act and the establishment of a whistleblower protection authority. Whistleblowers make Australia a better place and our laws need to reflect that.
Benita Kolovos
Victorian Liberal party room meeting is still going – they’ve been in there for just under two hours, with leader John Pesutto moving a motion to expel Moira Deeming from the party.
A handful of MPs just went for a loo break and told us the vote hasn’t happened yet.
Last week, another party room meeting also dragged on for a bit over two hours, with a group of MPs unsuccessfully moving a motion to delay the vote.
Hopefully we have a result soon.
Safeguard mechanism deal ‘a great day for our environment’, PM says
Anthony Albanese and Chris Bowen are holding their press conference in the blue room (it is raining in Canberra, so no PM courtyard announcement).
Labor is claiming victory over the safeguard mechanism:
After a wasted decade under the Coalition, today is a very good day indeed. A great day for our environment, for jobs and for the economy. A good day for manufacturing, but a good day as well for all those who voted for a government to take action on climate change last May.
The pollution trigger is something the Greens have been working towards for some time and it was something Labor gave some wriggle room.
BUT the hard cap only kicks in once it is reached. So the cap would have to be reached before there was a stop to emissions trading. And we don’t know what the hard cap will be.
So we will have to wait and see what the numbers are. Let’s see if the government has any more answers.
So the Greens didn’t get “no new coal and gas projects”. But what it did get was a hard cap in the legislation, which can not be exceeded through safeguards.
And Adam Bandt says that cap would be exceeded if Labor approved new coal and gas projects – that it wouldn’t be able to pass the projects on account of the pollution they would emit.
Anthony Albanese and Chris Bowen have called a press conference for 11.45am, or when this one with the Greens ends.
And finally, the Greens say they have also secured:
Increased methane monitoring, leading to greater coal and gas emissions reductions.
A Climate Change Authority-led sectoral emission reduction plans to make it harder for coal and gas projects to get financed and to support the litigation of greenwashing.
For the first time, the act will require reporting of all types of gases and offset generation use, creating greater transparency and pressure on corporations to do more.
Continuing on from the previous post:
All new gas fields for LNG export will need to be net zero CO2 from day one.
The agreement will significantly improve the integrity of ACCUs with a freeze on the most dubious offset class (human-induced regeneration) until they are subject to an independent audit.
The bill will include a requirement for incentives for onsite abatement and to ensure facilities are encouraged to actually cut pollution
Corporations will be required to justify their use of offsets if they use offsets for more than 30% of their baseline.
A review by the CCA in 2026-27 will look at the use of offsets and implementing measures to restrict their use if on-site abatement isn’t occurring to satisfactory levels.
The Powering the Regions fund will not be used to fund coal or gas projects.
The grant funding power the Liberal government used to subsidise fossil fuel projects will be changed in the act to prevent funding for extracting coal and gas.
What does the deal between the Greens and Labor look like on the safeguard mechanism?
It includes:
A hard cap or ceiling on actual or absolute (gross) emissions, which won’t be able to exceed current pollution levels (140 MT per annum), and there will be a decreasing cap over time. Pollution will actually now go down, not up, and the coal and gas corporations can’t buy their way out of it with offsets. This puts a limit on coal and gas expansion in Australia. Actual pollution from safeguard entities was forecast to rise under Labor’s original safeguard, from about 140MT now to between 155-184MT in 2030.
A pollution trigger in the safeguard mechanism bill that will require the climate change minister to test a new or expanded project’s impact on the hard cap and net carbon budgets. If the assessment finds that the project would contribute to exceeding the cap or budget, the minister must consult and recalibrate the rules (such as by limiting ACCUs, reducing the value of ACCUs or adjusting the decline rates of baselines) or impose conditions on new entrants. Using these wide-ranging powers, the minister could set baselines at zero and ACCU allowance at zero, effectively stopping a project from proceeding. The minister’s action or lack of action would be subject to legal enforcement. Approvals under the EPBC and advice from the Climate Change Authority would trigger the assessment as would assessment of emissions data and forecasts.
All Scope 1 emissions from the Beetaloo gas project will have to be net-zero with Scope 2 and 3 emissions referred to the Ministerial Energy Council. This will be a significant financial barrier in the way of the project proceeding.