Starmer: ‘our work is urgent and we begin it today’
New UK prime minister Keir Starmer has finished speaking outside Downing Street. He ended his speech by saying his government would “defy quietly those who have written our country off.”
He said:
You have given us a clear mandate, and we will use it to deliver change. To restore service and respect to politics. End the era of noisy performance. Tread more lightly on your lives. And unite our country.
Four nations standing together again. Facing down, as we have so often in our past, the challenges of an insecure world. Committed to a calm and patient rebuilding. So with respect, and humility I invite you all to join this government of service, in the mission of national renewal.
Our work is urgent and we begin it today. Thank you very much.
In an earlier part of the speech he said “Brick by brick we will rebuild the infrastructure of opportunity. The world class schools and colleges. The affordable homes that I know are the ingredients of hope for working people.”
He added:
The work of change begins immediately, but have no doubt, we will rebuild Britain.
\n Of the 650 MPs, the trust calculates that 63% were educated at comprehensives, higher than the 54% elected in 2019 and closer to the 88% of the overall population who went to comprehensives. A further 13% went to grammar schools, meaning that more than three-quarters of MPs attended state schools.
\n Some 23% (126) of MPs went to private secondary schools, compared to around 7% of the population. That is well below the 29% of MPs after both the 2019 and 2017 elections.
\n One big change from 2010: only four MPs went to Eton, compared with 11 when David Cameron became prime minister. But 46% of Conservative MPs elected yesterday went to private schools, compared to 15% of Labour MPs.
\n In higher education, the majority of MPs continue to be drawn from a narrow range of Russell Group research-intensive universities, including 20% who went to Oxbridge. One in 10 MPs did not attend higher education.
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My colleague Pippa Crerar picked up on this bit of Starmer’s speech, where he asked whether people believed that life was getting better for their children, before using that phrase “unburdened by doctrine”.
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Starmer promises to try to restore hope to the country.
"If I asked you now whether you believe that Britain will be better for your children, I know too many of you would say no. And so my government will fight every day until you believe again.
"From now, you have a…
— Pippa Crerar (@PippaCrerar) July 5, 2024
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Ben Riley-Smith, the Telegraph’s political editor, suggests it is “perhaps the most significant phrase” of the speech. He posted:
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\n
Perhaps the most significant phrase hidden in that Starmer speech – this will be a “government unburdened by doctrine”. His leadership has rejected the simple ideological templates of the left. Starmer, aides say, is “outcomes foccused”. A declaration he’ll continue that approach.
\n
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Perhaps the most significant phrase hidden in that Starmer speech – this will be a “government unburdened by doctrine”
His leadership has rejected the simple ideological templates of the Left. Starmer, aides say, is ‘outcomes foccused’
A declaration he’ll continue that approach
— Ben Riley-Smith (@benrileysmith) July 5, 2024
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Another phrase that stuck out for me was “End the era of noisy performance”, which suggests, at least for a little while, we might have a bit less of ministers going out to bat during the morning media rounds stirring up culture war issues or repeatedly defending lines that are clearly indefensible. We shall soon see on that score.
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UPDATE: Starmer said:
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\n
From now on, you have a government unburdened by doctrine, guided only by the determination to serve your interest, to defy, quietly, those who have written our country off.
\n
You have given us a clear mandate and we will use it to deliver change, to restore service and respect to politics, end the era of noisy performance, tread more lightly on your lives and unite our country.
\n
Four nations standing together again, facing down as we have so often in our past, the challenges of an insecure world, committed to a calm and patient rebuilding.
\n
So with respect and humility, I invite you all to join this government of service in the mission of national renewal.
\n
Our work is urgent and we begin it today.
\n
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New UK prime minister Keir Starmer has finished speaking outside Downing Street. He ended his speech by saying his government would “defy quietly those who have written our country off.”
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He said:
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\n
You have given us a clear mandate, and we will use it to deliver change. To restore service and respect to politics. End the era of noisy performance. Tread more lightly on your lives. And unite our country.
\n
Four nations standing together again. Facing down, as we have so often in our past, the challenges of an insecure world. Committed to a calm and patient rebuilding. So with respect, and humility I invite you all to join this government of service, in the mission of national renewal.
\n
Our work is urgent and we begin it today. Thank you very much.
\n
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In an earlier part of the speech he said “Brick by brick we will rebuild the infrastructure of opportunity. The world class schools and colleges. The affordable homes that I know are the ingredients of hope for working people.”
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He added:
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\n
The work of change begins immediately, but have no doubt, we will rebuild Britain.
\n
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The new prime minister says “it is surely clear to everyone that our country needs a bigger reset. A rediscovery of who we are.”
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He says “one of the great strengths of this nation has always been our ability to navigate a way to calmer waters. And yet this depends upon politicians, particularly those who stand for stability and moderation as I do, recognising when we must change course.”
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Starmer says “for too long now we turned a blind eye as millions slid into greater insecurity.”
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He says his government will fight every day to make people believe in them.
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He says “from now on you have a government unburdened by doctrine, guided only by the determination to serve your interest.”
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Starmer says “whether you voted Labour or not, in fact, especially if you did not I say to you directly. My government will serve you. Politics can be a force for good. We will show that. We’ve changed the Labour party, returned it to service, and that is how we will govern. Country first, party second”.
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Keir Starmer has arrived at Downing Street after being appointed prime minister by the king, and is giving his first national address.
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He has opened by saying he has accepted the invitation from the king to form the government of “this great nation”.
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Buckingham Palace has confirmed Keir Starmer is the new prime minister with the following statement:
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\n
The king received in audience the right honourable Sir Keir Starmer MP today and requested him to form a new administration. Sir Keir accepted his majesty’s offer and kissed hands upon his appointment as prime minister and First Lord of the Treasury.
\n
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Keir Starmer has been formally appointed as prime minister by King Charles at Buckingham Palace after a landslide victory in yesterday’s general election.
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Charles III welcomes Sir Keir Starmer during an audience at Buckingham Palace.”,”caption”:”King Charles III welcomes Sir Keir Starmer during an audience at Buckingham Palace.”,”credit”:”Photograph: Yui Mok/PA”}}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”summary”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1720178362000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”07.19 EDT”,”blockLastUpdated”:1720178434000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”07.20 EDT”,”blockFirstPublished”:1720178436000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”07.20 EDT”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”07.20″,”title”:”Keir Starmer formally appointed as prime minister by King Charles”,”contributors”:[],”primaryDateLine”:”Fri 5 Jul 2024 09.24 EDT”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First published on Thu 4 Jul 2024 15.50 EDT”},{“id”:”6687d1de8f08b8c654ee5b73″,”elements”:[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
Keir Starmer has arrived at Buckingham Palace to meet King Charles. He will be invited to form the next UK government and become prime minister.
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Buckingham Palace has issued the following statement:
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The Right Honourable Rishi Sunak MP had an audience of the King this morning and tendered his resignation as prime minister and First Lord of the Treasury, which his majesty was graciously pleased to accept.
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While Rishi Sunak is in Buckingham Palace, I just want to swing back to something from earlier. John Swinney has said his party need to take time to consider and reflect on an election result which has seen them lose 37 Westminster seats so far, reducing the party to just nine elected representatives in the House of Commons.
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Speaking in Glasgow, Scotland’s first minister said “I have to accept that we failed to convince people of the urgency of independence in this election campaign.”
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The party had previously said that winning a majority of seats in Scotland should be taken as a mandate for independence.
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PA Media reports Swinney said:
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As somebody who has devoted their entire adult life to the winning of Scottish independence – not for an abstract reason, but because I believe it will transform the lives of our people for the better – we need to get that approach correct in the forthcoming period.
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I accept that we need to engage with, listen to and learn from the people of Scotland on how we take forward our arguments for independence.
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Therefore, we need to take the time to consider and to reflect on how we deliver our commitment to independence – which remains absolute.
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Sunak has praised Keir Starmer, saying:
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Whilst he has been my political opponent, Keir Starmer, will shortly become our prime minister. In this job, his successes will be all our successes, and I wish him and his family well. Whatever our disagreements in this campaign, He is a decent, public spirited man who I respect.
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He and his family deserve the very best of our understanding as they make the huge transition to their new lives behind this door. And as he grapples with this most demanding of jobs in an increasingly unstable world.
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Rishi Sunak has announced his intention to resign as Conservative leader, but will stay on while arrangements can be made to choose his successor.
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More details soon …
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Rishi Sunak has apologised to the nation for the election loss. He says:
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I will shortly be seeing His Majesty the King to offer my resignation as prime minister to the country. I would like to say first and foremost, I am sorry.
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I have given this job my all but you have sent a clear signal that the government of the United Kingdom must change and yours is the only judgment that matters. I have heard your anger, your disappointment. And I take responsibility for this loss.
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Rishi Sunak is set to announce his departure as prime minister in a concession speech outside Downing Street. He will then travel to the palace for formally tender his resignation to King Charles.
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After that, Keir Starmer will attend the palace, where the king will ask him to form the next government. Starmer is expected to make a national address at 12.25pm
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It is unclear whether the outgoing prime minister will also use the opportunity to clarify his plans as leader of the Conservative party. He may resign with immediate effect, triggering a leadership campaign, or it is possible he may stay on as leader of the opposition for an interim period, until perhaps the new parliament is dissolved for the summer recess.
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Several potential candidates for the role lost their seats overnight, including Penny Mordaunt who not long ago was being touted as a stable option to nurse the government through to an election if Sunak had been ousted. Steve Baker and Grant Shapps also lost their seats.
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Kemi Badenoch, Suella Braverman, James Cleverly, Priti Patel, Robert Jenrick, Jeremy Hunt and Tom Tugendhat are all possible candidates who remain in parliament.
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Liberal Democrat leader Ed Davey has said his party’s first campaign will be to demand from Labour an emergency budget to address health and care issues.
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PA Media reports he said:
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Our first campaign, that starts today, is a campaign for an emergency budget this month for health and care. Every Liberal Democrat MP will be the voice for carers and we are going to make sure your voice is heard like never before.
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In a message posted to social media Ukraine’s president Volodymy Zelenskiy has congratulated Keir Starmer on his election win and thanked Rishi Sunak for his support.
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The president wrote:
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Congratulations to Keir Starmer and Laboour on their convincing election victory. Ukraine and the United Kingdom have been and will continue to be reliable allies through thick and thin. We will continue to defend and advance our common values of life, freedom, and a rules-based international order
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I wish the incoming government every success both in domestic affairs and in solidifying the UK’s leadership on the world stage. I look forward to working closely together on strengthening the Ukraine-UK partnership and restoring international peace and security.
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He continued:
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I am grateful to my good friend Rishi Sunak for the UK government’s steadfast support under his leadership. Challenger tanks, Storm Shadow missiles, F-16 training for our pilots, and the first bilateral security cooperation agreement are just a few of our shared achievements that Ukraine will never forget. Thank you, Rishi.
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greets Zelenskiy in France during the 80th anniversary of D-Day.”,”caption”:”Starmer greets Zelenskiy in France during the 80th anniversary of D-Day.”,”credit”:”Photograph: Benoît Tessier/Reuters”}},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
In February 2023, while leader of the opposition, Starmer visited Kyiv, and said he told Ukraine’s president “should there be a change of government when we have a general election here, the support for Ukraine will remain the same. It’s a very important message for me to be able to relay to the president face-to-face, and I’ve been able to do that this afternoon.”
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Labour’s national campaign chief Pat McFadden has said he expects Keir Starmer to have appointed the whole cabinet by the end of today.
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He told BBC Radio 4’s Today programme:
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\n
Keir Starmer will get on with appointing his Cabinet, which we expect to be done by the end of today. Certainly the whole Cabinet. That Cabinet will meet tomorrow. And he will have to quickly allocate those responsibilities, give his new Cabinet their marching orders and then there’s big international events coming.
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We have a Nato summit next week. That will be his first moment on the international stage. And while he’s doing that, he will want his new Cabinet to get on with it pretty quickly.
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Starmer is expected to meet King Charles before lunch, and to make an address to the nation as prime minister at about 12.20pm from Downing Street.
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Outgoing Prime Minister Rishi Sunak is set to make a statement at about 10.30am, Downing Street has said.
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PA Media reports he will then travel to Buckingham Palace for an audience with the King, where he is expected to formally tender his resignation.
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Then Keir Starmer will see the King at the palace. He will be appointed as the country’s next prime minister and asked to form an administration.
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He will then be driven to Downing Street to address the nation for the first time as prime minister at around 12.20pm.
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Timings are subject to change, No 10 noted.
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Asked on the BBC if she took responsibility for her role in the Conservatives defeat tonight, Liz Truss rather side-stepped the question. The former prime minister for 49 days who this morning lost her seat, said:
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I think the issues we faced as the Conservatives is we haven’t delivered sufficiently on the priorities of people. And that means keeping taxes low, but also particularly on reducing immigration. And I think that’s been a crucial issue here in southwest Norfolk. That was the number one issue that people raised on the doorstep with me.
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She was asked “do you accept that first as a cabinet minister, and then for a brief time as prime minister, you were part of the people in power, overseeing those things not being delivered?”
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She replied
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I agree I was part of that, that it is absolutely true. But during our 14 years in power, unfortunately, we did not do enough to take on the legacy we’d been left. In particular things like the Human Rights Act that made it very difficult for us to deport illegal immigrants, and that is one of the reasons I think we’ve ended up in this situation we are now.
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Asked whether she had a plan for her future, she said “I’ve got a lot to think about. It’s been a very, very hectic few weeks. I haven’t slept last night, so give me a bit of time, but I will definitely talk to you again.”
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Incidentally it is Martin Belam with you now for the next few hours. Andrew Sparrow is having a well-deserved rest and will be back later on. You can get in touch with me at martin.belam@theguardian.com
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Keir Starmer and Labour will form the next UK government after a sweeping victory in the general election. With a couple of dozen seats left to declare Labour have 408 seats, well above the 326 required for a majority
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Speaking at Royal Festival Hall in London, Starmer said people would be waking up to the news of a Labour victory and Tory defeat “relieved that a weight has been lifted, a burden finally removed”. He told a rally that change “begins now” and promised an “age of national renewal” in which Labour would “start to rebuild our country” but he also acknowledged that change would not be easy
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Rishi Sunak said he accepted responsibility for the Conservative government’s performance at the ballot box. The Tories are on course to record their worst ever electoral defeat
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Liz Truss, Jacob Rees-Mogg, Alex Chalk, Gillian Keegan, Johnny Mercer, Penny Mordaunt and Grant Shapps were among senior figures to lose their seats on a tumultuous night. Home secretary James Cleverly retained Braintree, and took a swipe at Reform, criticising people who present “simple and thin solutions to challenging and complex problems”
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Ed Davey’s Liberal Democrats are set to be the third biggest party in the House of Commons, with at least 68 seats in the new parliament. It is a huge increase for a party who performed dismally in 2019.
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On a bad night for the SNP in Scotland the party so far has only won 8 MPs, losing 37 seats so far. Labour made significant gains in Scotland
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The Green Party of England and Wales have achieved their ambition of four MPs, with victories in target seats in Bristol. Both co-leaders Carla Denyer and Adrian Ramsay will be in parliament
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Nigel Farage won in Clacton as Reform took four seats. Reform votes across the country have eaten into Conservative totals
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Labour’s victory was not without hitches, however. Three seats fell to independents running on pro-Palestinian tickets, the party failed to prevent Jeremy Corbyn winning as an independent, and the selection fiasco in Chingford and Woodford Green saw the party’s candidate Shama Tatler and former candidate Faiza Shaheen just 79 votes apart having split the vote to allow Iain Duncan Smith to win
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Sinn Féin will be the largest party in Northern Ireland for the first time
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Plaid Cymru have won 4 seats in Westminster
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George Galloway lost the Rochdale seat he won earlier this year in a byelection. He did not attend the announcement
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You can find the results in full here …
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Although Labour has won a landslide, in three constituencies where Gaza has been a key issue, the party has lost what should have been safe seats to independents.
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In Dewsbury and Batley, Labour had a majority of more than 14,000 at the last election. But Heather Iqbal, a former adviser to Rachel Reeves, lost to Iqbal Mohamed by almost 7,000 votes.
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In Blackburn Kate Hollern, who had held the seat for Labour since 2015, lost to Adnan Hussain by less than 200 votes. Craig Murray, who was standing for the Workers Party of Great Britain and also campaigning against Labour’s stance on Gaza, came third, with more than 7,000 votes.
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And in Leicester South Jonathan Ashworth, the shadow Cabinet Office minister, who had a majority of more than 22,000 at the last election, was beaten by Shockat Adam by just under 1,000 votes.
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In other seats pro-Palestinian campaigners took serious chunks out of Labour majorities. Keir Starmer’s share of the vote was down 17 points in his Holborn and St Pancras constituency. Andrew Feinstein, an independent challenging him, came second with more than 7,000 votes.
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And in Ilford North Wes Streeting, the shadow health secretary, beat the independent
\n Leanne Mohamad by just over 500 votes.
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That’s all from me. Martin Belam is running the show now. I’ll be back later today.
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Liz Truss has lost in South West Norfolk. The former PM, who had a majority of more than 26,000 at the last election, was beaten by Labour by 630 votes.
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Shabana Mahmood, shadow secretary of state for justice, has won Birmingham Ladywood. One of the most ethnically diverse constituencies in the UK and historically one of Labour’s safest seats, she was facing a strong challenge from independent candidate Akhmed Yakoob, who was largely standing on a platform addressing the conflict in Gaza. Mahmood took 15,558 votes. Yakoob came second with 12,137, giving her a majority of 3,421.
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James Cleverly has retained his seat in Braintree for the Conservatives. The home secretary appeared to take a swipe at Reform in his acceptance speech, criticising those who present “simple and thin solutions to challenging and complex problems”.
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He said:
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This has been a very difficult night for my party and losing the position of government of this country is painful. But it is the nature of our democracy that it happens, and when it happens, it is incumbent upon all parties, but particularly the party leaving government, to listen carefully to what the voters are telling us.
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I am not going to rush to any quick judgments. I think the right thing to do is be thoughtful and take a short period of time to really assess what the voters are telling us. But it is clear that when you see the vote share of the traditional main parties of government that many voters are disillusioned with all of us, and we should take that on board.
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I think it is also right that we have humility, to recognise that there is nothing honourable in presenting simple and thin solutions to challenging and complex problems. And the world is a difficult and dangerous place and we have to respond to that.
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The Green party has won its fourth seat, after Siân Berry, a former co-leader of the party, won Brighton Pavilion. This is the seat previously held by Caroline Lucas, the Greens’ first MP.
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Mark Harper, the transport secretary, has lost his Forest of Dean seat to Labour.
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At the last election he was ahead of Labour here by 60% to 29%.
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Douglas Ross, the Scottish Conservative leader, has failed to win his seat. He has been beatedn by the SNP’s Seamus Logan in Aberdeenshire North and Moray East.
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Ross has a seat in the Scottish parliament and had been expected to quit Westminster at this election. But at the last minute he put himself forward as the candidate for Aberdeenshire North and Moray East after the previous candidate, David Duguid, was banned from standing by the party on health grounds. Many Scottish Tories were angered by this, and in response Ross said he would stand down as party leader after the election.
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Ross arrives with his wife Krystle at P&J Live arena in Aberdeen for his count.”,”caption”:”Douglas Ross arrives with his wife Krystle at P&J Live arena in Aberdeen for his count.”,”credit”:”Photograph: Michał Wachucik/PA”}}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”summary”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1720155244000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”00.54 EDT”,”blockLastUpdated”:1720156119000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”01.08 EDT”,”blockFirstPublished”:1720156120000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”01.08 EDT”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”01.08″,”title”:”Scottish Tory leader Douglas Ross loses to SNP”,”contributors”:[],”primaryDateLine”:”Fri 5 Jul 2024 09.24 EDT”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First published on Thu 4 Jul 2024 15.50 EDT”},{“id”:”66877af28f08b8c654ee5752″,”elements”:[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
The Liberal Democrats candidate Freddie Van Mierlo has won Henley and Thame, Boris Johnson’s old seat:
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We’ve won Henley and Thame, Boris Johnson’s old seat. Congrats @fivanmierlo @LibDems gain from Con. pic.twitter.com/99pDFnKSrI
— Layla Moran 🔶🕊️ (@LaylaMoran) July 5, 2024
\n\n”},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
Internal Lib Dem polling seen by the Guardian in late June suggested there would be a close race in Henley and Thame – which includes much of Johnson’s former seat. The party believed it could win by a margin of just 500 votes.
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But today the Lib Dems won with a majority of 6,000.
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Liam Fox, the former defence secretary and international trade secretary, has lost his Somerset North seat to Labour.
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Here are the full results for Somerset North, according to PA media:
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\n
Sadik Al-Hassan (Lab) 19,138 (35.59%)
\n Sir Liam Fox (C) 18,499 (34.41%)
\n Ash Cartman (LD) 7,121 (13.24%)
\n Alexander Kokkinoftas (Reform) 5,602 (10.42%)
\n Oscar Livesey-Lodwick (Green) 3,273 (6.09%)
\n Suneil Basu (WPB) 133 (0.25%)
\n Lab maj 639 (1.19%)
\n Notional 14.82% swing C to Lab
\n 8.50% boundary change
\n Electorate 70,504; Turnout 53,766 (76.26%)
\n 2019 notional: C maj 16,184 (28.46%) – Turnout 56,864 (76.88%)
\n C 30,411 (53.48%); Lab 14,227 (25.02%); LD 9,425 (16.57%); Green
\n 2,801 (4.93%)\n
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Outgoing Scottish Conservative leader Douglas Ross has lost to the SNP’s Seamus Logan in Aberdeenshire North and Moray East.
\n Logan won with 13,455 votes.
Ross stood in place of David Duguid, who was barred from standing by party chiefs due to ill health. Ross announced he would resign as party leader following the election after u-turning on his decision not to stand as an MP.
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The Conservatives have suffered a wipeout in Wales. They won 14 seats in 2019. This time they have won none, an echo of 1997 when Tony Blair came to power and the Welsh Tories were left with no representation at Westminster.
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The final result came in Monmouthshire where David TC Davies, who was the secretary of state for Wales, lost his seat.
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Scotland’s first minister, SNP leader John Swinney, has apologised to his party colleagueswho did not retain their seats in the House of Commons.
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He told the Press Association that the result was “very damaging and tough”.
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“I’m very sorry to the colleagues who have lost their seats and will lose their seats in the course of this evening,” said Swinney who is only two months into the job.
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Minister of Scotland John Swinney reacts as he talks to media following the result of the election count in Perth, Scotland, Britain on 5 July 2024.”,”caption”:”First Minister of Scotland John Swinney reacts as he talks to media following the result of the election count in Perth, Scotland, Britain on 5 July 2024. “,”credit”:”Photograph: Russell Cheyne/Reuters”}},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
“You don’t recover from those tough times in an instant, and we’ve not managed to recover from them during this election campaign and I’m deeply sorry that that’s the situation that we face,” he said.
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Ian Paisley is on track to lose the once-impregnable Democratic Unionist party (DUP) bastion of North Antrim, capping a devastating election for the party.
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Jim Allister of the hardline Traditional Unionist Voice seems certain to take the seat in a seismic shock that all but assures Sinn Féin will overtake the DUP as Northern Ireland’s biggest Westminster party.
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Alliance’s Sorcha Eastwood took the DUP Lagan Valley stronghold vacated by its former leader, Sir Jeffrey Donaldson, in the wake of sex offence charges.
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The Ulster Unionist Robin Swann is expected to oust the DUP’s Paul Girvan from South Antrim, slashing the number of DUP MPs from eight to five. Sinn Fein is expected to hold its seven seats.
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The DUP’s one solace is that its leader, Gavin Robinson, fended off a challenge from Alliance’s Naomi Long in East Belfast. But losing three seats, including a citadel held by the Paisley family since 1970, is a shattering outcome – and a legacy of Brexit. The party’s gyrations on the Irish Sea border alienated centrist supporters, who defected to Alliance and the UUP, and harder line unionists, who switched to the TUV.
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Reform originally backed the TUV but upon becoming leader Nigel Farage endorsed several DUP MPs, including Paisley, who were described as “beer buddies”.
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Plaid Cymru have hailed a “stunning” general election result after retaining its two incumbent MPs and gaining two others.
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Leader Rhun ap Iorwerth said:
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Despite the tough context of an unprecedented Labour wave, this is the party’s best ever result in a general election – representing the greatest proportion of seats won.
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This result shows that Plaid Cymru is the clear alternative to Labour in Wales and our focus now shifts to putting forward a vision which more people than every can get behind at the Senedd Election in 2026.
\n
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Plaid also won four seats at the last general election. But since then Wales has lost eight of the 40 seats it had and, on the basis of how people voted in 2019, Plaid would have only won two of the new seats. Two of the seats they have won tonight, Yns Môn and Caerfyrddin.
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Starmer says “country first, party second” isn’t just a slogan, it’s a “guiding principle”.
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Our task is nothing less than renewing the ideas that hold this country together.
\n
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The Liberal Democrat candidate Al Pinkerton has defeated the Conservatives in Surrey Heath, capturing the former seat of former levelling up secretary Michael Gove, who did not seek re-election.
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It was a huge win. Here are the figures from PA Media.
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\n
LD win – gain from notional C
\n Al Pinkerton (LD) 21,387 (44.75%)
\n Ed McGuinness (C) 15,747 (32.95%)
\n Sam Goggin (Reform) 6,252 (13.08%)
\n Jessica Hammersley-Rich (Lab) 3,148 (6.59%)
\n Jon Campbell (Green) 1,162 (2.43%)
\n Elizabeth Wallitt (Heritage) 92 (0.19%)
\n LD maj 5,640 (11.80%)\n
Notional 20.82% swing C to LD
\n 24.20% boundary change\n
Electorate 71,934; Turnout 47,788 (66.43%)
\n 2019 notional: C maj 15,552 (29.83%) – Turnout 52,131 (73.61%)
\n C 30,161 (57.86%); LD 14,609 (28.02%); Lab 4,888 (9.38%); Green 1,845
\n (3.54%); Others 628 (1.20%)\n
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Labour has won the 2024 general election.
\n Keir Starmer is speaking now:
\n “We did it! You campaigned for it, you fought for it, you voted for it, and now it has arrived. Change begins now. And it feels good, I have to be honest. Four and a half years of work changing the party. This is what it is for: a changed labour party, ready to serve our country, ready to restore Britain to the service of working people.”
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The Guardian’s results tracker has Labour on 326 seats so far: a majority.
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Jacob Rees-Mogg, the former business secretary, has lost his seat in North East Somerset and Hanham to Labour.
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Keir Starmer is speaking now. “Change begins now,” the Labour leader says. “It feels good.”
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The Conservative cabinet ministers who have lost their seats so far are:
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- \n
-
Penny Mordaunt, leader of the Commons
-
Alex Chalk, the justice secretary
-
Grant Shapps, the defence secretary
-
Gillian Keegan, the education secretary
-
Simon Hart, the chief whip
-
Michelle Donelan, the science secretary
-
Lucy Frazer, the culture secretary
-
Johnny Mercer, the veterans minister
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
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Mordaunt lost her seat to Labour candidate Amanda Martin.”,”caption”:”Penny Mordaunt lost her seat to Labour candidate Amanda Martin.”,”credit”:”Photograph: Ben Stevens/REX/Shutterstock”}}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”summary”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1720151629000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”23.53 EDT”,”blockLastUpdated”:1720155425000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”00.57 EDT”,”blockFirstPublished”:1720151878000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”23.57 EDT”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”23.57″,”title”:”Eight cabinet ministers lose their seats”,”contributors”:[],”primaryDateLine”:”Fri 5 Jul 2024 09.24 EDT”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First published on Thu 4 Jul 2024 15.50 EDT”},{“id”:”66876f0b8f08a83a9aecc7a7″,”elements”:[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
Kemi Badenoch, the business secretary, and favourite to be next Tory leader, has held her seat. She received 19,360 votes to Labour candidate Issy Waite’s 16,750.
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Around two thirds of constituencies have now declared. Here is the state of play.
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Keir Starmer will be the next prime minister, after Rishi Sunak conceded defeat within the last few minutes. The Conservatives have suffered a landslide defeat. The latest projection from the BBC suggests the Tories will be left with just 144 MPs – their lowest total after an election since they first started operating as the Conservative party in in the 1830s.
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Sunak has said he will make a full statement about the defeat when he returns to London later today. Speaking at his count, he did not say whether or not he intends to stay on as party leader.
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Starmer is on course to take power with a majority of 170, the latest projection from the BBC suggests. It says Labour is set to end up with 410 seats. In a speech at his count at Holborn and St Pancras, he said that the people had voted for change and that it was “time for us to deliver”.
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Leading members of the cabinet are among the Tories who have already lost their seats, including Penny Mordaunt, leader of the Commons, Alex Chalk, the justice secretary, Grant Shapps, the defence secretary, Gillian Keegan, the education secretary, Simon Hart, the chief whip, Michelle Donelan, the science secretary, Lucy Frazer, the culture secretary and Johnny Mercer, the veterans minister. After a close fight, Jeremy Hunt, the chancellor, has held his seat.
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John Swinney, the SNP leader and Scottish first minister, has said his party is having “a bad election”. It won 48 seats at the last general election, but the BBC is now projection it will end the night with just eight.
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The Liberal Democrats are on course to have their best election result, in terms of gains, for a century. At the last election they won 11 seats. Now the BBC is projecting they will end up with 58 seats. The party says Liberals have not made gains like this at an election since 1923.
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Nigel Farage, the Reform UK leader, has said his party is making progress towards his goal of replacing the Tories as the main opposition to the Tories. Farage has won Clacton, and his party has won three other seats. The latest BBC projection suggests the party won’t get any more than this. But in many seats it has been coming second to Labour, recording large swings from 2019.
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Carla Denyer, the Green party co-leader, has beaten Labour to win Bristol Central. The party is projected by the BBC to win two seats.
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Plaid Cymru is on course to win four seats, the BBC projection suggests.
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Two Labour shadow cabinet ministers have lost their seats, despite the party overall achieving a landslide victory. Thangam Debbonaire, the shadow culture secretary, was beaten by the Greens in Bristol, and Jonathan Ashworth, the shadow Cabinet Office minister, lost his seat in Leicester South.
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The SNP have lost the fourth of six possible seats in Glasgow to Labour.
\n Labour’s Patricia Ferguson has been elected with whopping majority, with 18,000 votes, compared to the SNP’s 12,175.
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Rishi Sunak is speaking at his count where he has just been elected.
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He says it has been a “difficult night” for his party.
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He thanks his constituents for their support and says he looks forward to continuing to serve them.
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He says Labour has won and he has called Keir Starmer to congratulate him.
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Sunak arrives for the count in Richmond and Northallerton.”,”caption”:”Rishi Sunak arrives for the count in Richmond and Northallerton.”,”credit”:”Photograph: WPA/Getty Images”}}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”summary”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1720150910000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”23.41 EDT”,”blockLastUpdated”:1720151225000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”23.47 EDT”,”blockFirstPublished”:1720151029000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”23.43 EDT”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”23.43″,”title”:”Sunak concedes Labour has won, and says he has congratulated Keir Starmer”,”contributors”:[],”primaryDateLine”:”Fri 5 Jul 2024 09.24 EDT”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First published on Thu 4 Jul 2024 15.50 EDT”},{“id”:”66876b128f08b8c654ee56d2″,”elements”:[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
Jeremy Hunt, the chancellor, has held on to his Godalming & Ash seat.
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Jeremy Hunt survives in Godalming & Ash by just 900 votes
— Pippa Crerar (@PippaCrerar) July 5, 2024
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The prime minister, Rishi Sunak, has arrived at the counting centre for his seat of Richmond and Northallerton, which means we are expecting a result soon.
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Sunak arrives at the count centre in Northallerton.”,”caption”:”Rishi Sunak arrives at the count centre in Northallerton.”,”credit”:”Photograph: Anthony Devlin/Getty Images”}}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”summary”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1720149386000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”23.16 EDT”,”blockLastUpdated”:1720149843000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”23.24 EDT”,”blockFirstPublished”:1720149506000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”23.18 EDT”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”23.18″,”title”:”Sunak arrives at count for his seat of Richmond and Northallerton”,”contributors”:[],”primaryDateLine”:”Fri 5 Jul 2024 09.24 EDT”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First published on Thu 4 Jul 2024 15.50 EDT”},{“id”:”668764218f08a83a9aecc75e”,”elements”:[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
Penny Mordaunt, the leader of the Commons, has lost her Portsmouth North contest. Of all the cabinet ministers who have lost their seats so far, her defeat is probably the most significant because she was seen as one of the strongest candidates to replace Rishi Sunak as leader. Labour took the seat on an 18% swing. Labour’s Amanda Martin got 14,495 votes, and Mordaunt 13,715 votes.
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Here are the results for Fareham and Waterlooville, where the former Tory home secretary Suella Braverman has held on to her seat. Via PA Media:
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Turnout was 64.52%.
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\n
Suella Braverman (C) 17,561 (35.04%)
Gemma Furnivall (Lab) 11,482 (22.91%)
Bella Hewitt (LD) 9,533 (19.02%)
Kevan Chippindall-Higgin (Reform) 9,084 (18.12%)
Baz Marie (Green) 2,036 (4.06%)
Robert Holliday (HampInd) 217 (0.43%)
Edward Dean (Rejoin) 210 (0.42%)\n
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Thérèse Coffey, the Conservative former health secretary, has lost her Suffolk Coastal seat.
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RESULT Suffolk Coastal:
Thérèse COFFEY – Conservative 14,602
Julian CUSACK – Green 4,380
Julia EWART – Liberal Democrat 6,947
Matthew JACKSON – Reform UK 7,850
Jenny RIDDELL-CARPENTER – Labour 15,672 *ELECTED*
Labour GAIN from Conservative
Total votes cast 49,636
Turnout 66.6%— East Suffolk Council (@EastSuffolk) July 5, 2024
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The Green party has won its first seat of the night as co-leader Carla Denyer was elected as MP for Bristol Central in a major upset for Labour.
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Denyer won 24,539 votes in the newly drawn constituency, easily beating the Labour candidate and shadow frontbencher Thangam Debbonaire to second place with 14,132.
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Debbonaire, who represented the constituency’s predecessor Bristol West from 2015, was on course to take a seat in a Keir Starmer cabinet as culture secretary had she won.
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In her acceptance speech, Denyer, 38, who has co-led the Green party with Adrian Ramsay for nearly three years, said: “Bristol you made history today. Together we did it. We elected our city’s first Green MP.”
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She thanked Green voters as well as those who voted for other parties, volunteers, council staff, and Debbonaire.
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“This incredible city has long had my heart and the warmth and positivity I have felt during this campaign has been truly humbling. I feel so privileged to have this opportunity to serve you and to ensure that the real hope that inspired so many people to vote Green is represented in parliament. I can’t wait to get started.”
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Speaking after winning her seat of Fareham and Waterlooville, the former home secretary Braverman says: “I’m sorry the Conservative party didn’t listen to you.”
\n In what looks and sounds distinctly like a pitch to be the next Tory leader, she is doing her best to appear chastened, serious, and to make it clear she thinks the party (under Sunak) has disappointed supporters.
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She says the party “let you down”, and “acted like we’re entitled to your vote”.
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As bad as tonight has been for the Tories, she says, if the party doesn’t listen, “we’ll have many worse nights to come”.
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Braverman (centre) gives a speech at Fareham leisure centre in Hampshire, after her victory.”,”caption”:”Suella Braverman (centre) gives a speech at Fareham leisure centre in Hampshire, after her victory.”,”credit”:”Photograph: Andrew Matthews/PA Media”}}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”summary”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1720148059000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”22.54 EDT”,”blockLastUpdated”:1720150176000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”23.29 EDT”,”blockFirstPublished”:1720148744000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”23.05 EDT”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”23.05″,”title”:”Suella Braverman wins her seat”,”contributors”:[],”primaryDateLine”:”Fri 5 Jul 2024 09.24 EDT”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First published on Thu 4 Jul 2024 15.50 EDT”},{“id”:”668761d28f08115751de36bf”,”elements”:[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
Richard Tice, the former leader of Reform UK, has won Boston and Skegness from the Conservatives.
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This makes Reform’s fourth win of the night – along with Clacton, Ashfield and Great Yarmouth.
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The BBC has now revised its forecast for the final result, based on the constituencies that have already counted.
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Here are the new figures, with the exit poll figures in brackets.
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Labour: 405 (410)
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Conservatives: 154 (131)
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Liberal Democrats: 56 (61)
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SNP: 6 (10)
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Reform UK: 4 (13)
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Plaid Cymru: 4 (4)
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Greens: 2 (2)
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Others: 19 (18 Northern Ireland MP plus one independent, Jeremy Corbyn)
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Majority: 160 (170)
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This would still be the worst Conservative party result in their history, in terms on number of seats, but it would by only two seats worse than the previous record low, 156 seats in the 1906 election.
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Thangam Debbonaire, the shadow secretary for culture, media and sport, has lost in the Bristol Central seat, becoming the second shadow cabinet minister to be beaten.
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Carla Denyer, one of the Green party’s co-leaders, has won the seat.
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Gillian Keegan, the education secretary, has lost her seat in Chichester.
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The Lib Dems have won the seat with a majority of 12,172 votes.
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Labour has gained Lichfield from the Conservatives, meaning Michael Fabricant has lost his seat.
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Here are full results for Lichfield, according to PA media;
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\n
Lab win – gain from notional C
\n Dave Robertson (Lab) 17,232 (35.09%)
\n +Sir Michael Fabricant (C) 16,422 (33.44%)
\n Richard Howard (Reform) 9,734 (19.82%)
\n Paul Ray (LD) 3,572 (7.27%)
\n Heather McNeillis (Green) 1,724 (3.51%)
\n Pete Longman (Ind) 322 (0.66%)
\n John Madden (ND) 98 (0.20%)
\n Lab maj 810 (1.65%)
\n Notional 22.37% swing C to Lab
\n 3.50% boundary change
\n Electorate 76,118; Turnout 49,104 (64.51%)
\n 2019 notional: C maj 22,609 (43.09%) – Turnout 52,465 (71.05%)
\n C 33,638 (64.12%); Lab 11,029 (21.02%); LD 5,528 (10.54%); Green
\n 1,702 (3.24%); Others 568 (1.08%)\n
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In his victory speech in Clacton Nigel Farage, the Reform UK leader, said what his party had achieved in just four weeks was ‘“truly extraordinary”.
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To come second in so many seats showed something fundamental was happening, he said.
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Referring to a big rally he held at the NEC in Birmingham, he said that showed that his plan to build a national movement to challenge Labour was credible.
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Labour would be in trouble very quickly, he said
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He went on:
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\n
Believe me folks, this is just the first step of something that is going to stun all of you.
\n
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Reform UK has gained Great Yarmouth from the Conservatives, the party’s third win of the night.
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The Scottish Labour leader Anas Sarwar has said, “I am confident we will have a majority in Scotland and we can start the process of change tomorrow.
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“The first stage is getting rid of a 14 year Tory government that has done so much damage to our country. That hard works tomorrow. The second stage would be looking towards Scottish parliament, parliamentary elections in 2026.”
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Labour Leader Anas Sarwar poses after arriving for declaration results.”,”caption”:”Scottish Labour Leader Anas Sarwar poses after arriving for declaration results.”,”credit”:”Photograph: Jeff J Mitchell/Getty Images”}},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TweetBlockElement”,”source”:”Twitter”,”id”:”1809051668761203090″,”elementId”:”3d047d41-d2ff-4474-9488-4256a82d092b”,”hasMedia”:false,”role”:”inline”,”url”:”https://x.com/lisaocarroll/status/1809051668761203090″,”isThirdPartyTracking”:false,”html”:”
Labour Scottish leader Anas Sarwar arrives in Glasgow to rapturous applause. Says he is confident of a Labour victory in Scotland. pic.twitter.com/IUBtvkP2ds
— Lisa O'Carroll (@lisaocarroll) July 5, 2024
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First results from Glasgow not expected for at least an hour but the SNP camp is downbeat as they look like losing five of the sixth seats judging by the piles of ballot papers marked Labour in the arena.
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SNP candidates very downbeat as energy drains away to what looks like a very clear victory for Labour and its leader Anas Sarwar who has just swept into the count centre in Glasgow to rapturous applause from candidates and party faithful pic.twitter.com/gtt1ZH4Q00
— Lisa O'Carroll (@lisaocarroll) July 5, 2024
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And Nigel Farage, the Reform UK leader, has finally been elected an MP. This was his eighth attempt (although he claimed only his second serious attempt).
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He won Clacton with 21,225. He beat Giles Watling, the Conservative who had a majority of 24,702 at the last election, but who tonight got just 12,820. (Boundary changes only had a minor impact on the compostition of the constituency.
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Farage’s majority was 8,405.
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UK leader Nigel Farage arrives at Clacton Leisure Centre in Clacton, Essex during the count.”,”caption”:”Reform UK leader Nigel Farage arrives at Clacton Leisure Centre in Clacton, Essex during the count.”,”credit”:”Photograph: Joe Giddens/PA”}},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.RichLinkBlockElement”,”prefix”:”Related: “,”text”:”Nigel Farage elected as Clacton MP, winning a seat on eighth attempt”,”elementId”:”4a193b31-b3d1-4b55-b94a-99cdf656e1ba”,”role”:”thumbnail”,”url”:”https://www.theguardian.com/politics/article/2024/jul/05/nigel-farage-elected-as-clacton-mp-winning-a-seat-on-eighth-attempt”}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”summary”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1720146529000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”22.28 EDT”,”blockLastUpdated”:1720147023000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”22.37 EDT”,”blockFirstPublished”:1720146802000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”22.33 EDT”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”22.33″,”title”:”Nigel Farage elected MP for Clacton with majority of 8,405″,”contributors”:[],”primaryDateLine”:”Fri 5 Jul 2024 09.24 EDT”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First published on Thu 4 Jul 2024 15.50 EDT”},{“id”:”66875a6b8f08b8c654ee5636″,”elements”:[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
Labour’s Jonathan Ashworth has lost his seat of Leicester South, becoming the first shadow cabinet minister to lose a seat.
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Shockat Adam, an independent, has won the seat.
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Jeremy Corbyn, the former Labour leader, has been re-elected as MP for Islington North. After being banned from running as a Labour candidate, he ran as an independent, and easily beat his Labour opponent. Corbyn got 24,120 votes and Labour’s Praful Nargund got 16,874 votes.
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Iain Duncan Smith, the former Tory leader, has retained his seat, Chingford and Woodford Green. He got 17,281 votes.
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He seems to have won because the Labour vote was split almost 50/50 between is official candidate, Shama Tatler, and Faiza Shaheen, the leftwinger who contested the seat in 2019 and who was set to be Labour’s candidate until she was removed at short notice because of past tweets deemed unacceptable. She decided to run as an independent instead.
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Grant Shapps, the former defence secretary, is speaking now in his seat of Welwyn Hatfield, which he just lost.
\n He says that voters have been “dismayed” by the inability of the Conservatives to sort out their differences in private.
\n He called it an endless soap opera, and “indulgent”.
\n He also said that the new government must spend 2.5% of GDP on the armed forces, he says, or the UK’s support for Ukraine will suffer.
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Shapps also mentioned that his proudest achievement was securing £75bn in defence spending. And that he served as Home Secretary, a position he held for six days. Which was an achievement, in a way, because it made him the shortest-serving Home Secretary in British history.
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Shapps speaks after losing his seat at the Welwyn and Hatfield count in Hertfordshire.”,”caption”:”Grant Shapps speaks after losing his seat at the Welwyn and Hatfield count in Hertfordshire.”,”credit”:”Photograph: James Shaw/REX/Shutterstock”}}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”summary”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1720145750000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”22.15 EDT”,”blockLastUpdated”:1720147878000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”22.51 EDT”,”blockFirstPublished”:1720146068000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”22.21 EDT”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”22.21″,”title”:”Shapps: voters dismayed by endless soap opera of Tories”,”contributors”:[],”primaryDateLine”:”Fri 5 Jul 2024 09.24 EDT”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First published on Thu 4 Jul 2024 15.50 EDT”},{“id”:”668756208f08a83a9aecc6ed”,”elements”:[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
Alex Chalk, the justice secretary, has lost in Cheltenham to the Liberal Democrats, becoming the first cabinet minister to lose his seat.
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Here are the full result, according to PA media:
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\n
LD win – gain from notional C
\n Max Wilkinson (LD) 25,076 (50.62%)
\n +Alex Chalk (C) 17,866 (36.06%)
\n Daniel Wilson (Green) 3,160 (6.38%)
\n Lara Chaplin (Lab) 2,665 (5.38%)
\n Daud McDonald (Ind) 775 (1.56%)
\n LD maj 7,210 (14.55%)
\n Notional 8.53% swing C to LD
\n 5.90% boundary change
\n Electorate 76,143; Turnout 49,542 (65.06%)
\n 2019 notional: C maj 1,421 (2.50%) – Turnout 56,883 (75.55%)
\n C 27,563 (48.46%); LD 26,142 (45.96%); Lab 2,733 (4.80%); Others 445
\n (0.78%)\n
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Grant Shapps, the defence secretary, has lost his seat in Welwyn Hatfield.
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He was beaten by Labour’s Andrew Lewin, who got 19,877 votes (41%). Shapps got 16,078 votes (33%).
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Shapps loses his seat at the Welwyn and Hatfield count.”,”caption”:”Grant Shapps loses his seat at the Welwyn and Hatfield count.”,”credit”:”Photograph: James Shaw/REX/Shutterstock”}}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”summary”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1720145368000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”22.09 EDT”,”blockLastUpdated”:1720147370000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”22.42 EDT”,”blockFirstPublished”:1720145488000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”22.11 EDT”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”22.11″,”title”:”Defence secretary Grant Shapps beaten by Labour in Welwyn Hatfield”,”contributors”:[],”primaryDateLine”:”Fri 5 Jul 2024 09.24 EDT”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First published on Thu 4 Jul 2024 15.50 EDT”},{“id”:”668753d38f08b8c654ee5600″,”elements”:[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
Keir Starmer starts by thanking his family.
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And he thanks the police and the returning officer for making sure every voice was heard, and every vote counted.
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And he thanks the other candidates who put themselves forward for public service.
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It all starts with you, he tells his audience. Change begins with people who come together to make life better.
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He talks about community groups and faith communties who serve the people.
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And he says he promises to serve every person in the constituency, whether they voted for him or not. He will speak out for people, “have your back and fight your corner every single day”.
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He goes on:
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\n
People here and around the country have spoken and they’re ready for change, to the politics of performance, a return to politics as public service.
\n
The change begins right here, because this is your democracy, your community and your future.
\n
You have voted. It is now time for us to deliver.
\n
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Labour leader, Keir Starmer, speaks on stage after he was elected for the Holborn and St Pancras constituency.”,”caption”:”The Labour leader, Keir Starmer, speaks on stage after he was elected for the Holborn and St Pancras constituency.”,”credit”:”Photograph: Sean Smith/The Guardian”}}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”summary”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1720144851000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”22.00 EDT”,”blockLastUpdated”:1720147393000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”22.43 EDT”,”blockFirstPublished”:1720145286000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”22.08 EDT”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”22.08″,”title”:”Starmer says ‘people have spoken, they’re ready for change, it’s now time for us to deliver'”,”contributors”:[],”primaryDateLine”:”Fri 5 Jul 2024 09.24 EDT”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First published on Thu 4 Jul 2024 15.50 EDT”},{“id”:”668752008f08a83a9aecc6cd”,”elements”:[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
Arriving at his count in Clacton, Nigel Farage, the Reform UK leader, said his party would now be going after Labour.
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He said Lee Anderson, the former Tory MP, had won because he had the courage to defect to Reform UK. He said there were many Conservative MPs who would be losing tonight because they did not have the courage to do the same.
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And he went on:
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And the really big message is this. Geographically now, in most of the country, a vote for the Conservatives actually splits our vote and is a vote for Labour. The argument they’ve used against us can never be used again.
\n
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Reform UK leader, Nigel Farage, arrives for the count in Clacton-on-Sea.”,”caption”:”The Reform UK leader, Nigel Farage, arrives for the count in Clacton-on-Sea.”,”credit”:”Photograph: Graeme Robertson/The Guardian”}}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”summary”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1720144384000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”21.53 EDT”,”blockLastUpdated”:1720148912000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”23.08 EDT”,”blockFirstPublished”:1720144658000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”21.57 EDT”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”21.57″,”title”:”Nigel Farage arrives in Clacton and says Reform UK will now target Labour”,”contributors”:[],”primaryDateLine”:”Fri 5 Jul 2024 09.24 EDT”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First published on Thu 4 Jul 2024 15.50 EDT”},{“id”:”668750c88f08b8c654ee55ef”,”elements”:[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
Labour’s Lillian Jones has won the Kilmarnock and Loudoun with more than 19,065 votes.
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SNP came second on 13,936.
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It is the first result in Scotland.
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Ed Davey has held on to his seat in Kingston and Surbiton.
\n He is giving a victory speech now, and says, “Now I don’t know if you could tell, but I have rather enjoyed this campaign. But what I’ve loved most is not the bungee jumping … it’s speaking to people … about the challenges they face and their hopes for the future.”
\n Davey has performed a series of stunts during his campaign, including bungee jumping, surfing and, perhaps hardest of all, a zumba class.
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Democrat leader Sir Ed Davey at King’s Centre in Chessington, south west London, after he was declared the winner of Kingston and Surbiton constituency.”,”caption”:”Liberal Democrat leader Sir Ed Davey at King’s Centre in Chessington, south west London, after he was declared the winner of Kingston and Surbiton constituency.”,”credit”:”Photograph: Yui Mok/PA”}},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.RichLinkBlockElement”,”prefix”:”Related: “,”text”:”Ed for heights: Lib Dem leader Davey’s campaign stunts – in pictures”,”elementId”:”e8b79689-685b-4718-93ee-5d43ca5896c4″,”role”:”thumbnail”,”url”:”https://www.theguardian.com/politics/gallery/2024/jul/02/ed-for-heights-lib-dem-leader-davey-campaign-stunts-in-pictures”}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”summary”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1720143816000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”21.43 EDT”,”blockLastUpdated”:1720146959000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”22.35 EDT”,”blockFirstPublished”:1720144028000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”21.47 EDT”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”21.47″,”title”:”Lib Dem leader Ed Davey holds seat in Kingston and Surbiton.”,”contributors”:[],”primaryDateLine”:”Fri 5 Jul 2024 09.24 EDT”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First published on Thu 4 Jul 2024 15.50 EDT”},{“id”:”66874e4a8f08b8c654ee55d5″,”elements”:[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
George Galloway, leader of the Workers Party of Britain, was beating in Rochdale by Paul Waugh, the Labour candidate and a former political journalist. On the BBC election programme Neil Kinnock, the former Labour leader, could scarcely contain his glee. He described Galloway as “repulsive” – but said when he was leading the party, he could not find a reason to throw him out.
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Here are the results in full from PA Media.
“,”elementId”:”67dfba41-a6c7-4c21-b7ba-4be9781cf8bf”},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
Lab win – notional hold
\n Paul Waugh (Lab) 13,027 (32.82%)
\n +George Galloway (WPB) 11,587 (29.20%)
\n Michael Howard (Reform) 6,773 (17.07%)
\n Paul Ellison (C) 4,273 (10.77%)
\n Andy Kelly (LD) 2,816 (7.10%)
\n Martyn Savin (Green) 1,212 (3.05%)
\n Lab maj 1,440 (3.63%)
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10.30% boundary change
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Electorate 71,264; Turnout 39,688 (55.69%)
\n 2019 notional: Lab maj 8,109 (19.28%) – Turnout 42,058 (58.66%)
\n Lab 21,379 (50.83%); C 13,270 (31.55%); Brexit 3,451 (8.21%); LD
\n 3,168 (7.53%); Green 790 (1.88%)
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Waugh wins in the election for the constituency of Rochdale, at Rochdale Leisure Centre.”,”caption”:”Paul Waugh wins in the election for the constituency of Rochdale, at Rochdale Leisure Centre. “,”credit”:”Photograph: Joel Goodman/LNP”}}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”summary”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1720143434000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”21.37 EDT”,”blockLastUpdated”:1720146335000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”22.25 EDT”,”blockFirstPublished”:1720143837000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”21.43 EDT”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”21.43″,”title”:”Galloway loses to Labour’s Paul Waugh in Rochdale by 1,440 votes – results in full”,”contributors”:[],”primaryDateLine”:”Fri 5 Jul 2024 09.24 EDT”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First published on Thu 4 Jul 2024 15.50 EDT”},{“id”:”66874c5b8f08a83a9aecc69a”,”elements”:[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
Labour’s Derek Twigg has held Widnes and Halewood with 61.61%. Reform’s Jake Fraser came second, fairly far behind, with 18.52%.
\n Turnout was 52.97%.
\n Here are the results, via PA Media:
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\n
Derek Twigg (Lab) 23,484 (61.61%)
Jake Fraser (Reform) 7,059 (18.52%)
Sean Houlston (C) 3,507 (9.20%)
Nancy Mills (Green) 2,058 (5.40%)
David Coveney (LD) 1,593 (4.18%)
Michael Murphy (WPB) 415 (1.09%)\n
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Labour’s Marsha de Cordova has held onto her seat in Battersea, with 48.81% of the vote. The Conservatives came second, Liberal Democrats third, and Greens fourth, ahead of Reform.
\n Turnout was relatively high for this election so far, at 64.7%.
\n Here are the results, via PA:
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\n
Marsha de Cordova (Lab) 22,983 (48.81%)
Tom Pridham (C) 10,944 (23.24%)
Francis Chubb (LD) 4,826 (10.25%)
Joe Taylor (Green) 4,239 (9.00%)
Barry Edwards (Reform) 2,825 (6.00%)
Dan Smith (WPB) 499 (1.06%)
Georgina Burford-Connole (Rejoin) 401 (0.85%)
Jake Thomas (Ind) 216 (0.46%)
Ed Dampier (Soc Dem) 149 (0.32%)\n
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Labour’s Chris Webb has gained the seat of Blackpool South from a Zak Khan. Reform has come second.
\n The result for the Conservatives is brutal, with just 15.65% of the vote.
\n Turnout was very low, at 45.41%.
\n Here are the results, via PA:
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\n
Chris Webb (Lab) 16,916 (48.08%)
Mark Butcher (Reform) 10,068 (28.62%)
Zak Khan (C) 5,504 (15.65%)
Ben Thomas (Green) 1,207 (3.43%)
Andy Cregan (LD) 1,041 (2.96%)
Stephen Black (Ind) 261 (0.74%)
Kim Knight (ADF) 183 (0.52%)\n
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The first two Welsh results are in and it’s grim news for the Tories. Labour has won both the Vale of Glamorgan and Bridgend from the Conservatives.
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There was a fierce fight between the Tories and Labour in the Vale, a bellwether seat. Rishi Sunak visited on the first day of the campaign and blundered when he asked staff at a brewery in south Wales if they were looking forward to Euro 24, apparently not realising or forgetting that Wales had not qualified for the tournament.
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Keir Starmer had a more successful visit, serving ice cream in a parlour at Barry Island.
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It is turning into a bad night for former and current Tory Welsh secretaries of state. Alun Cairns, who held the post between 2016 and 2019, was the Vale MP.
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Sir Robert Buckland, who served in 2022, was beaten in South Swindon while the latest incumbent, David TC Davies, earlier said there “isn’t a chance” he’ll win in Monmouthshire.
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Labour have gained a seat in Swindon North from the Conservatives. Turnout was 60.3%.
\n Here are the results, via PA:
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\n
Will Stone (Lab) 17,930 (40.60%)
Justin Tomlinson (C) 13,827 (31.31%)
Les Willis (Reform) 7,557 (17.11%)
Andy Bentley (Green) 2,366 (5.36%)
Flo Clucas (LD) 2,086 (4.72%)
Debbie Hicks (Ind) 260 (0.59%)
Scott Hunter (TUSC) 139 (0.31%)\n
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Lee Anderson has been re-elected in Ashfield. He is the first Reform UK MP elected tonight.
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In his victory speech he calls Ashfield the capital of common sense. He says “I want my country back, and Ashfield can play its part in that.”
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Anderson at his count at Kirkby Leisure Centre in Ashfield.”,”caption”:”Lee Anderson at his count at Kirkby Leisure Centre in Ashfield.”,”credit”:”Photograph: Fabio De Paola/The Guardian”}}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”summary”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1720142368000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”21.19 EDT”,”blockLastUpdated”:1720142537000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”21.22 EDT”,”blockFirstPublished”:1720142537000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”21.22 EDT”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”21.22″,”title”:”Lee Anderson re-elected as Reform UK MP for Ashfield”,”contributors”:[],”primaryDateLine”:”Fri 5 Jul 2024 09.24 EDT”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First published on Thu 4 Jul 2024 15.50 EDT”},{“id”:”6687489b8f08a83a9aecc685″,”elements”:[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
Labour’s Dan Jarvis has won in Barnsley, which means that the exit poll was way off. In his victory speech, he joked: “Rumours of my death have been greatly exaggerated.”
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Jarvis won with a majority of almost 8,000 votes.
\n An exit poll predicted Jarvis was likely to lose his seat to a former Reform candidate who was dropped by the party last week over alleged racist comments.
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Labour has comfortably retained its seat in Barnsley North, according to PA.
\n Reform has come second.
\n Here are the results:
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\n
Dan Jarvis (Lab) 18,610 (50.44%)
Robert Lomas (Reform) 10,799 (29.27%)
Tamas Kovacs (C) 3,083 (8.36%)
Tom Heyes (Green) 1,805 (4.89%)
Penny Baker (LD) 1,336 (3.62%)
Neil Fisher (Ind) 616 (1.67%)
Tony Devoy (Yorkshire) 603 (1.63%)
Janus Polenceusz (Eng Dem) 42 (0.11%)\n
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Labour’s Anneliese Midgley has won in Knowsley and Shaun Davies has won in Telford, according to PA.
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This is what a Lib Dem spokesperson is saying about Chichester, where the party is confident it has beaten Gillian Keegan, the education secretary.
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\n
Chichester is going Lib Dem orange, as Gillian Keegan becomes the first Cabinet Minister of the night to lose her seat.
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The Conservatives have let down the people of Chichester for too long. This seat has been Conservative for 100 years and a win here for the Liberal Democrats is an extraordinary achievement which has unseated the education secretary.
\n
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Keegan had a majority of 21,490 at the last election over the Lib Dems. Since then the boundaries have changed, but the new boundaries were marginally more favourable to the Tories, not less. Under the new boundaries, it is estimated the Tories would have been on 59% at the last election (not 58% – its actual share of the vote) and the Lib Dems would have been on 20% (not 23%), according to the Guardian’s guide to the boundary changes.
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The Liberal Democrats’ Tom Gordon has won Harrogate & Knaresborough, the party’s first victory of the night.
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The full results from PA media are:
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\n
Tom Gordon (LD) 23,976 (46.05%)
\n Andrew Jones (C) 15,738 (30.23%)
\n Jonathan Swales (Reform) 5,679 (10.91%)
\n Conrad Whitcroft (Lab) 4,153 (7.98%)
\n Shan Oakes (Green) 1,762 (3.38%)
\n Paul Haslam (Ind) 620 (1.19%)
\n Stephen Metcalfe (ND) 136 (0.26%)
\n LD maj 8,238 (15.82%)\n
Notional 15.82% swing C to LD
\n
6.20% boundary change
\n
Electorate 77,970; Turnout 52,064 (66.77%)
\n 2019 notional: C maj 8,787 (15.82%) – Turnout 55,543 (73.28%)
\n C 28,873 (51.98%); LD 20,086 (36.16%); Lab 5,349 (9.63%); Others
\n 1,208 (2.17%); Green 27 (0.05%)\n
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Prof Sir John Curtice, the psephologist who led the team that produced the exit poll, said early results are consistent with widespread expectations of a low turnout.
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Speaking to the BBC, Curtice said:
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\n
We may discover we are heading towards one of the lower turnouts of general elections in postwar electoral history.
\n
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He noted that there was “not that much difference between Conservative and Labour in much of what they were offering the electorate”.
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The lowest general election turnout since 1918 was in 2001, when it was 59.4%. The highest was in 1950, when it was 83.9%. For most of the postwar period turnout was regularly in the 70s, or higher, and in 1997 it was 71.4%. But it has never returned to those levels since the sharp fall in 2001. At the last election it was 67.3%, down by 1.5 percentage points compared with 2017 (68.8%). Full figures are available in this House of Commons library briefing paper.
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election turnout figures”,”caption”:”General election turnout figures”,”credit”:”Photograph: House of Commons library”}}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”summary”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1720137214000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”19.53 EDT”,”blockLastUpdated”:1720139009000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”20.23 EDT”,”blockFirstPublished”:1720139009000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”20.23 EDT”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”20.23″,”title”:”Turnout on course to be one of lowest in postwar history, says John Curtice”,”contributors”:[],”primaryDateLine”:”Fri 5 Jul 2024 09.24 EDT”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First published on Thu 4 Jul 2024 15.50 EDT”},{“id”:”66872d728f08a83a9aecc5ca”,”elements”:[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
Labour’s Heidi Alexander has won Swindon South, taking the seat from the former Conservative justice secretary Robert Buckland.
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It marks the first Labour gain from the Conservatives.
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Rightwingers in the Conservative party think a major cause of the party’s defeat was the decision to get rid of Boris Johnson, and Jacob Rees-Mogg, who was leader of the Commons and then Brexit minister under Johnson, became one of the first Tories to make that case tonight.
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Speaking on the BBC, he said it had been “a terrible night” for the party.
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Asked what went wrong for the party, Rees-Mogg said there were “issues with changing the leader”. He went on:
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\n
Voters expect the prime minister they have chosen to remain the prime minister and for it to be the voters who decide when that person is changed …
\n
I’m afraid I think the Conservative party took it’s core vote for granted, which is why you see so many people who may have voted Conservative previously, going off to Reform.
\n
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The second result of the night has been announced – Labour’s Ian Lavery has won in Blyth and Ashington.
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Reform has come second. The full results are:
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- \n
-
Labour – 20,030 (49.6%)
-
Reform UK – 10,857 (26.9%)
-
Conservative – 6,121 (15.2%)
-
Green Party – 1,960 (4.9%)
-
Lib Dems – 1,433 (3.6%)
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
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And here are the full figures for Houghton and Sunderland South, from PA Media.
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\n
Labour hold
\n
Bridget Phillipson (Lab) 18,837 (47.05%)
\n
Sam Woods-Brass (Reform) 11,668 (29.15%)
\n
Chris Burnicle (C) 5,514 (13.77%)
\n
Paul Edgeworth (LD) 2,290 (5.72%)
\n
Richard Bradley (Green) 1,723 (4.30%)
\n
Lab maj 7,169 (17.91%)
\n
11.50% boundary change
\n
Electorate 78,448; Turnout 40,032 (51.03%)
\n
2019 notional: Lab maj 3,271 (7.47%) – Turnout 43,798 (56.97%)
\n Lab 17,696 (40.40%); C 14,425 (32.94%); Brexit 6,895 (15.74%); LD
\n 2,602 (5.94%); Green 1,183 (2.70%); Others 997 (2.28%)\n
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Reform UK is the new version of the Brexit party, and, on that basis, its share of the vote is up 13 points. Labour’s share is up 7 points, and the Tories’ share is down 19 points.
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Labour’s Bridget Phillipson, the shadow education secretary, has won Houghton and Sunderland South.
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Jeremy Hunt is projected to lose his seat, according to the exit poll. He would be the first chancellor in modern history to lose his seat.
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There is an 81% chance that the Lib Dems will gain Hunt’s seat in Godalming and Ash, according to the poll.
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Hunt is the most high-profile cabinet minister predicted to lose his seat – but he is by no means the only one.
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Grant Shapps, the defence minister, and Johnny Mercer, the veterans minister, could also lose their seats.
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Transport secretary Mark Harper, Work and pensions secretary Mel Stride, Environment secretary Steve Barclay and Commons leader Penny Mordaunt are all “too close to call”, according to the poll.
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The Welsh secretary, David TC Davies, has said the exit poll suggests there “isn’t a chance” he’ll retain his seat.
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Speaking to the BBC, he said:
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On the basis of the exit poll, there isn’t a chance that I’ll be winning, which is disappointing. I’ve had great support from the local association, but the fact is, people wanted a change.
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That’s the way it goes in democracy. I’ll be the first to acknowledge there’s going to be a massive Labour victory and I certainly won’t be in parliament at the end of the evening.
\n
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Davies had stood for the new seat of Monmouthshire in south-east Wales.
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Tory strategists are worried that they could face a wipeout in Wales. They won 14 of the 40 seats at the 2019 election. In 1997 and 2001 they were left with zero seats in Wales but had steadily clambered back.
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Some candidates suffered “unacceptable abuse and intimidation” at this election, the Electoral Commission said.
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In a statement issued as polls closed, the commission’s chief executive, Vijay Rangarajan, said:
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Today, tens of millions of people exercised their democratic right and had their say at the ballot box. Overall, our initial assessment is that polling day ran smoothly and people were able to cast their votes securely. We continue to support administrators as they undertake counts tonight.
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Millions of people were able to have their say, but we know there is room to improve the experience for some. A record number of postal votes were successfully returned, but some couldn’t vote both in the UK and abroad because of the late arrival of postal votes.
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There was a robust and vibrant campaign, but unacceptable abuse and intimidation of candidates. We will collect evidence from people who participated in these elections as voters, candidates, campaigners and administrators, to better understand their experiences. We will recommend improvements to the systems where necessary.
\n
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Ruth Davidson, the former Scottish Tory leader, has described the exit poll as projecting a “massacre” for her party. But it was not as bad as it might have been, she told Sky News. She said:
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\n
So actually 131 – while, there is no dressing it up, this is a massacre – they’ve actually, if this is right, pulled a few back from where they thought they were.
\n
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Nigel Farage’s Reform UK appeared to be on course for a dramatic breakthrough according to an exit poll which showed it was on course to win as many as 13 seats.
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While there was caution about how exit poll would ultimately translate into seats, it was clear that millions of people had voted for the hard-right anti-immigration party, which has stated that it is out to destroy the Conservative party.
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Ben Habib, Reform’s deputy leader, said: “This is a huge bridgehead. This is politically seismic.”
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The poll results suggest that Farage, who sparked a political earthquake on the right after he returned as leader of the party last month and announced he had changed his mind about running, is on course to win the Essex seat of Clacton.
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Richard Tice, Reform’s chair and the man who stepped aside so that Farage could come back, appeared to be in a strong position to win in Boston and Skegness.
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Others who were in a strong position included the former Southampton football club chairman Rupert Lowe, who was running in Great Yarmouth.
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The Reform UK party are projected to win 13 seats, according to the 10pm exit polls.
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Broadcasters have been commissioning exit polls since the 1970s and in the past there have been some spectacular misses. In October 1974 a BBC exit poll said Labour would win by a landslide, when in fact Harold Wilson won by a tiny majority. In 1987 the BBC and ITV (which produced rival exit polls in those days) both badly underestimated how big Margaret Thatcher’s majority would be, and they both forecast a hung parliament in 1992 when John Major won a small majority.
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But in 2005 the methodology changed, and since then exit polls have generally been very accurate. Prof Sir John Curtice is in charge of the team and the work is jointly commissioned by the BBC, ITV and Sky News. Of the five previous exit polls calculated using this method, two got the majority exactly right, two were out by less than 10, and one was out by 22. Here are the details.
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2005 – accurate: It predicted a Labour majority of 66, which was correct.
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2010 – accurate: It said the Conservatives would be 19 seats short of a majority, and they were.
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2015 – out by 22: It said the Conservatives would be 10 seats short of a majority, but they got a majority of 12.
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2017 – out by 4: It said the Conservatives would be 12 seats short of a majority, but they were eight seats short.
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2019 – out by 6: It forecast a Tory majority of 86, but it was 80.
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There is more on how the exit polls works on this Channel 4 News fact check blog.
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If these figures are accurate, Keir Starmer will have a majority of 170.
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Clive Myrie is reading out the exit poll.
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Conservatives: 131
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Labour: 410
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Liberal Democrats: 61
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SNP: 10
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Reform UK: 13
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Plaid Cymru: 4
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Greens: 2
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No 10 has also announced knightoods for four Tories in the dissolution honours – Oliver Dowden, the deputy PM; Julian Smith, the former chief whip and Northern Ireland secretary; Ben Wallace, the former defence secretary; and Alister Jack, the outgoing Scottish secretary – and one damehood, for Thérèse Coffey, the former deputy PM.
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As Michael Savage from the Observer reports, Jack had been tipped for a peerage:
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At the weekend, I reported that Alister Jack was in line for a peerage. Tonight, Sunak has revealed a dissolution honours list in which he has been given a knighthood…
Also a knighthood for Oliver Dowden, the deputy PM who pushed for the early election.
— Michael Savage (@michaelsavage) July 4, 2024
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And here is the full list of people getting peerages in the dissolution honours list.
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Nominations from Conservative party
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Sir Graham Brady, outgoing chair of the 1922 committee
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Chris Grayling, who served in cabinet as transport secretary, justice secretary and leader of the Commons
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Eleanor Laing, former deputy speaker of the Commons
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Craig Mackinlay, the former MP for South Thanet who returned to the Commons recently having had his hands and feet amputated due to sepsis
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Theresa May, the former PM
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Alok Sharma, the former Cop26 president and former business secretary
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Liam Booth-Smith, who has been Rishi Sunak’s chief of staff.
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Nominations from Labour party
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Margaret Beckett, former foreign secretary, former deputy Labour leader, and acting leader between the death of John Smith and the election of Tony Blair
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John Cryer, a former chair of the parliamentary Labour party (PLP)
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Harriet Harman, a former deputy Labour leader and acting leader between the resignation of Ed Miliband and the election of Jeremy Corbyn
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Margaret Hodge, a former culture minister and former chair of the public accounts committee
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Kevan Jones, a former defence minister
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Barbara Keeley, a former deputy leader of the Commons
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John Spellar, a former whip
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Rosie Winterton, a former deputy speaker
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Nomination from the Liberal Democrats
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Caroline Pidgeon, former Lib Dem leader in the London assembly
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Nomination from the Ulster Unionist party
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Thomas Elliott, former UUP leader
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Nominations for crossbench peerages
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Minette Batters, former president of the NFU
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Dr Hilary Cass, former president of the Royal College of Paediatrics and Child Health and chair of the recently published review into gender identity services for children and young people.
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Downing Street has made the surprise decision to release a dissolution honours list tonight. It includes peerages for the former prime minister Theresa May and former chairman of the Conservative backbench 1922 committee Sir Graham Brady.
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Good evening. Britain’s first past the post (FPTP) electoral system is flawed in many respects – it is not fair to small parties, it means many people feel that their votes never count, it does not guarantee stable governments – but in one respect at least it performs brilliantly. When the nation is truly fed up with a government, and when the public is determined to “throw the rascals out”, FPTP delivers. As in 1906, or 1945, or 1997, it can lead to an unpopular governing party being crushed by a landslide that reshapes the political landscape. We’re expecting another tonight.
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There is no particular mystery about why the Conservative party is on course to lose so badly. Last month Cambrige University Press published a new book about the record of the party in government over the past 14 years. It concluded that, measured by its performance, this has been the worst government in postwar history. Nobody has seriously tried to argue that this assessment is wrong.
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And there does not seem to be anyone in the political world who is not expecting a Labour landslide victory tonight. Election nights often produce surprises, but they came in two categories. Some elections produce an unexpected shock (like John Major winning in 1992, or David Cameron getting an outright majority in 2015, or Theresa May throwing it away in 2017.) But there are also elections that produce an expected shock; a result that that is in line with what pollsters were predicting, but yet is still a surprise because the numbers seemed too outlandish to be true. This happened in 1997, when hardly anyone believed regular polls suggesting Tony Blair was on course for a majority heading for the 200 mark (including the papers that paid for them). And it seems likely to happen again tonight.
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But there is still huge uncertainty as to how well Labour might do. The Elections Etc website has published a round-up of the different results forecast by different methods (simple modelling, based on opinion polls; more complex modelling based on the same polls; MRP polls; and the betting markets). On average these models are predicting a Labour majority of 194. The lowest projected figure for the Labour majority (from simple model forecasting) is 88.
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But pollsters regard their MRP surveys as particularly reliable, and the numbers these polls are producing are astonishing. Here is the summary from Elections Etc.
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of forecasts from MRP polls”,”caption”:”Summary of forecasts from MRP polls”,”credit”:”Photograph: Elections Etc”}},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
Some of these predictions are certain to be very badly wrong. (There is a big difference between Labour getting a majority of 210 and 382.) Perhaps the MRP pollsters have all got it wrong? But, as we go into election night, they have created an extraordinary situation where Keir Starmer could end up with a majority of 100, which would still be a landslide, or even 150 – an astonishing result for a party that lost very badly less than five years ago – and still feel a tad disappointed.
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Anyway, we will have a much better idea at 10pm, when the results of the exit poll are out. For the last 20 years it has mostly been very reliable. And by tomorrow we will know for sure. Unless election 2024 has produced the greatest failure since people started trying to measure electoral opinion in the democratic age, Keir Starmer will become prime minister (around lunchtime?) and he will start forming a new government.
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Here is an hour-by-hour guide to what results we are expecting an when.
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And here is a guide from Rob Ford, a psephologist, to the trends we should be looking out for.
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I’m Andrew Sparrow and I’ll be blogging through the night with Léonie Chao-Fong. We will be covering results here, but we also have a seperate results page here. And of course we will be bringing you reaction and analsyis into the night and all through Friday. I am unlikely to have much time to look at the comments tonight but if you want to flag something up to me, try using X; I’ll see something addressed to @AndrewSparrow very quickly.
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Key events
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New Commons will have highest ever number of comprehensive-educated MPs, report says
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Starmer promises government ‘unburdened by doctrine’
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Starmer: ‘our work is urgent and we begin it today’
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Starmer: country needs ‘a bigger reset’ and his government will be ‘unburdened by doctrine’
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Starmer says ‘we will govern country first, party second’
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Keir Starmer gives first national address as prime minister
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Buckingham Palace statement confirms Keir Starmer has been appointed prime minister
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Keir Starmer formally appointed as prime minister by King Charles
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Keir Starmer has arrived at Buckingham Palace to meet King Charles
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Buckingham Palace confirms King Charles has accepted resignation of Rishi Sunak
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Swinney: SNP need to take time to consider and reflect on election result
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Sunak wishes Starmer well as PM, saying he is ‘decent public spirited man’
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Rishi Sunak announces intention to resign as Conservative leader but stay on until successor appointed
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Rishi Sunak apologises to nation
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Rishi Sunak to give final address to nation as prime minister after crushing general election defeat
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Ed Davey: Lib Dems to campaign for ’emergency budget for health and care’
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Zelenskiy congratulates Starmer on win and thanks Sunak for support
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Labour: Starmer is expected to appoint whole Cabinet today
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Sunak to make statement at 10.30am, Starmer to address nation at about 12.20pm
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Liz Truss blames Tory defeat on not doing enough ‘to take on the legacy we’d been left’ 14 years ago
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Labour win historic landslide election as Liz Truss and many cabinet ministers lose seats in Tory wipeout
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Labour loses three seats to independent candidates in constituencies where Gaza has been major issue
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Former PM Liz Truss loses her South West Norfolk seat to Labour by 630 votes
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Shabana Mahmood, shadow justice secretary, wins Birmingham Ladywood
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James Cleverly retains seat, criticises those who present ‘simple and thin solutions to challenging and complex problems’
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Siân Berry wins Brighton Pavilion for Greens
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Transport secretary Mark Harper loses Forest of Dean to Labour
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Scottish Tory leader Douglas Ross loses to SNP
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Lib Dems win Henley and Thame
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Former international trade secretary Liam Fox loses Somerset North to Labour
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Scottish Conservative leader Douglas Ross loses seat to SNP
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Conservatives lose all their MPs in Wales
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SNP leader John Swinney: I’m deeply sorry
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DUP’s Ian Paisley on track to lose North Antrim
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Plaid Cymru celebrates its ‘best ever’ result in general election
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Starmer vows to ‘renew the ideas that hold this country together’
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Lib Dems takes Surrey Heath, Michael Gove’s former seat
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Keir Starmer: We did it!
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Former business secretary Jacob Rees-Mogg defeated by Labour
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‘Change begins now’: Starmer speaks as Labour declared winner
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Eight cabinet ministers lose their seats
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Kemi Badenoch holds her seat
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Election – latest state of play
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SNP lose fourth of six seats in Glasgow to Labour
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Sunak concedes Labour has won, and says he has congratulated Keir Starmer
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Jeremy Hunt holds on to seat
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Sunak arrives at count for his seat of Richmond and Northallerton
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Leader of Commons Penny Mordaunt defeated in Portsmouth North
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Fareham and Waterlooville results: Suella Braverman holds on to her seat
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Thérèse Coffey loses Suffolk Coastal seat
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Green Party wins first seat of night
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Suella Braverman wins her seat
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Richard Tice takes Reform UK’s fourth win of night in Boston and Skegness
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BBC says its revised forecast suggests Starmer on course for majority of 160, with Labour on 405 seats and Tories on 154
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Green party co-leader Carla Denyer takes Labour’s Bristol Central seat from Thangam Debbonaire
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Education secretary Gillian Keegan beaten by Lib Dems
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Michael Fabricant loses Lichfield seat to Labour
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Farage claims Reform UK on course to be credible opposition to Labour in a rise that will ‘stun all of you’
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Reform claims third seat – Great Yarmouth
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Anas Sarwar: I am confident we will have a majority
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Nigel Farage elected MP for Clacton with majority of 8,405
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Jonathan Ashworth first shadow cabinet minister to lose seat
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Jeremy Corbyn easily beats Labour to be re-elected MP for Islington North as independent
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Iain Duncan Smith holds seat after leftwing independent Faiza Shaheen splits Labour vote
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Shapps: voters dismayed by endless soap opera of Tories
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Justice secretary Alex Chalk beaten by Lib Dems
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Defence secretary Grant Shapps beaten by Labour in Welwyn Hatfield
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Starmer says ‘people have spoken, they’re ready for change, it’s now time for us to deliver’
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Nigel Farage arrives in Clacton and says Reform UK will now target Labour
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First Scottish result: Labour wins Kilmarnock and Loudoun
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Lib Dem leader Ed Davey holds seat in Kingston and Surbiton.
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Galloway loses to Labour’s Paul Waugh in Rochdale by 1,440 votes – results in full
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Labour holds Widnes and Halewood
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Labour holds Battersea
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Labour gains Blackpool South from Conservatives
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First results from Wales: Labour takes two seats from Conservatives
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Labour win Swindon North
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Lee Anderson re-elected as Reform UK MP for Ashfield
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Labour retains Barnsley, defying exit poll
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Labour holds Barnsley North
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Labour win Knowsley and Telford
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Lib Dems claim they have won Chichester, beating education secretary Gillian Keegan
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Lib Dems win first seat from Conservatives
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Turnout on course to be one of lowest in postwar history, says John Curtice
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Labour wins Swindon South taking seat from former justice secretary Robert Buckland
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Jacob Rees-Mogg suggests Tory defeat partly explained by decision to ditch Boris Johnson as leader
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Second result – Labour holds Blyth and Ashington
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Full results for Houghton and Sunderland South
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First result of the night – Labour wins Houghton and Sunderland South
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Jeremy Hunt to become first chancellor to lose seat, exit poll suggests
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Welsh secretary says he has lost his seat
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Some candidates suffered ‘unacceptable abuse and intimidation’ during campaign, says Electoral Commission
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‘This is a massacre’: former Scottish Tory leader Ruth Davidson on exit poll projection
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‘Politically seismic’ – Reform UK welcomes exit poll suggesting it will win 13 seats
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Reform to win 13 seats, exit poll suggests
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How reliable are exit polls?
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Labour heading for majority of 170, exit poll suggests
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Exit poll suggests Labour has won 410 seats, and the Tories 131
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Oliver Dowden among five Tories getting knighthoods and damehoods in dissolution honours
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Full list of people getting peerages in dissolution honours list
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Theresa May and Graham Brady given peerages in surprise dissolution honours list
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Election results night: opening summary
New Commons will have highest ever number of comprehensive-educated MPs, report says
Richard Adams
The new House of Commons will have its highest-ever proportion of MPs educated at comprehensive schools, according to new analysis by the Sutton Trust.
Of the 650 MPs, the trust calculates that 63% were educated at comprehensives, higher than the 54% elected in 2019 and closer to the 88% of the overall population who went to comprehensives. A further 13% went to grammar schools, meaning that more than three-quarters of MPs attended state schools.
Some 23% (126) of MPs went to private secondary schools, compared to around 7% of the population. That is well below the 29% of MPs after both the 2019 and 2017 elections.
One big change from 2010: only four MPs went to Eton, compared with 11 when David Cameron became prime minister. But 46% of Conservative MPs elected yesterday went to private schools, compared to 15% of Labour MPs.
In higher education, the majority of MPs continue to be drawn from a narrow range of Russell Group research-intensive universities, including 20% who went to Oxbridge. One in 10 MPs did not attend higher education.
Andrew Sparrow
Good afternoon. I’m Andrew Sparrow, back on the blog and taking over from Martin Belam.
We are getting cabinet appointments from Keir Starmer this afternoon. Having campaigned on the basis that he is offering stability, we’re expecting most shadow cabinet ministers to move into the jobs they have been shadowing.
Nigel Farage, the Reform UK leader and new MP for Clacton, is also promising a speech this afternoon.
If you want to contact me, please post a message below the line (BTL) or message me on X (Twitter). I can’t read all the messages BTL, but if you put “Andrew” in a message aimed at me, I am more likely to see it because I search for posts containing that word. If you want to flag something up urgently, it is best to use X; I’ll see something addressed to @AndrewSparrow very quickly. I find it very helpful when readers point out mistakes, even minor typos (no error is too small to correct). And I find your questions very interesting too. I can’t promise to reply to them all, but I will try to reply to as many as I can, either BTL or sometimes in the blog.
Rishi Sunak’s team have issued some photos of him saying goodbaye to staff and colleagues in Downing Street before he headed to Buckingham Palace to tender his resignation to King Charles.
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And on that note, it is time for me, Martin Belam, to bid you farewell too, as it is the end of my shift. Andrew Sparrow is back now to take you through the rest of the day. Thank you so much for your comments and emails over the last couple of days – especially the dog pictures – and I shall see you again soon. Take care, and I hope you enjoy as good a weekend as you can.
New prime minister Keir Starmer has posted to social media a picture of himself and his wife Victoria outside what is their new home.
There are only two seats left to declare. South Basildon and East Thurrock is having a full recount starting at 2pm this afternoon. It is believed to be tight, with Reform UK’s James McMurdock apparently likely to become their fifth MP ahead of Labour’s Jack Ferguson. Conservative Stephen Metcalfe, MP there since 2010, is believed to have come third.
The other outstanding declaration is Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shire in the Highlands, where there is a recount to be held on Saturday morning. Angus MacDonald could become the 72nd Liberal Democrat MP and their 64th gain at the expense of the SNP’s Drew Hendry, who held the predeccesor seat before boundary changes.
All the rest of the results can be found here in our interactive …
Here is the video of Keir Starmer’s first address to the nation as the UK’s new prime minister.
Peter Walker
The UK’s first past the post electoral system produces some very obvious distortions – Labour won close to two-thirds of Commons seats on around a third of the popular vote – and some of these have been crunched and collated by Make Votes Matter, a pro-proportional representation campaign group.
It found that 58% of people who voted have ended up with an MP different to the party they chose, a record high. In all, 74% of votes were what it called “non decisive” – either cast for a losing candidate, or above the margin of victory for the winner.
There were particular differences between the parties: their data found that while just three in ten people who voted Conservative ended up with a Conservative MP, this was the case for eight in ten Labour voters.
On average, to elect a Conservative or Reform MP it needed 87,200 votes, versus an average of 31,000 for a Labour, Lib Dem or Green MP.
The group said: “Labour’s vote has been described as efficient, but let’s be clear what this means: winning seats with as few votes as possible. The bottom line is, under first past the post, some people’s votes matter more than others’.
This is a map that Rishi Sunak will not be wanting to look at very often, one should imagine. It illustrates how just five years after Boris Johnson won a majority of 80 seats, Sunak has presided over a dismal electoral performance by the Conservatives which has reduced them to just 121 MPs. John Swinney probably should look away too.
Northern Ireland’s first minister has said thank you to voters for their support of Sinn Féin, which has become the largest party in Northern Ireland by both vote share and number of MPs. In a message on social media, Michelle O’Neill said:
Sinn Féin is now the largest party in the North; in local government, in the assembly and in Westminster. Your support has made history. I want to thank each and every one of you for placing your trust in us and voting for Sinn Féin.
We sought your endorsement for our strong leadership, vision for positive change, and commitment to work for all. And you have spoken loud and clear. Ahead of us is a new and better future for everyone on this island.
Sinn Féin MPs will work tirelessly to stand up for public services, and champion the needs and aspirations of workers, families, and communities. Thank you and let’s keep journeying forward to a new Ireland, together.
Sinn Féin MPs do not take up their seats in Westminster. Paul Maskey wrote for the Guardian at the height of the rows about Brexit in 2018 to explain why he didn’t and how that is not going to change.
Hilary Osborne
Hilary Osborne is the Guardian’s money and consumer editor
The Labour party’s manifesto made a few promises on personal finances – and missed out a few things that might leave the way clear for change.
Tax and pay: Labour said it would not increase national insurance, the basic, higher, or additional rates of income tax, or VAT – but it will introduce VAT to private school fees.
It did not rule out changes to council tax, capital gains tax (the tax on the profits from selling assets) or inheritance tax.
The freeze on income tax thresholds until 2028 is set to stay in place, which means more people being dragged into higher rates of tax as they earn more. The Conservatives’ promise of more national insurance cuts was not matched by Labour.
It will extend the full minimum wage to cover everyone over 18.
Pensions: The triple lock will stay, so the state pension payments will continue to go up by at least 2.5% each year. The party has promised a comprehensive review of pensions – this will look at how to get more people saving enough for a secure retirement. During the campaign it committed to keeping the rules that allow retirees to take a 25% tax-free lump sum from their pension.
Previously, the party had said it would bring back in the lifetime cap on how much you can invest in a pension before facing tax charges. This was not in the manifesto, but could be revisited.
Housing: 1.5m new homes will be built over the next five years, the party says, including social housing – it has promised “the biggest increase in social and affordable housebuilding in a generation”.
The mortgage guarantee on 95% home loans will stay in place, which will give lenders reassurance to offer these low-deposit deals. New leasehold flats will be banned.
For renters, section 21 evictions will be abolished straight away and tenants will eventually get powers to challenge unreasonable rent rises.
Benefits: Not much was said on this subject in the manifesto, despite its importance. Labour said it would review universal credit, but has not pledged to scrap the two-child policy for benefits, despite having previously opposed it.
Eco measures: The ban on sales of petrol and diesel cars will be set at 2030. Labour has promised no one will have to rip out their boiler, but it will be encouraging people to install solar panels and low-carbon heating with grants and loans. Homes in the rented sector will have to meet minimum energy efficiency standards, which should help tenants keep their bills down.