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\n
If we’re honest, when the next general election comes – whenever it comes – it is going to be incredibly hard for us Conservatives to win … We haven’t delivered on our second promise at the last general election, which was to leave the EU by the end of March this year, so we look incompetent. And we are very divided – and a divided country does not elect a divided party.
\n
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He went on to say that the party needed to focusing on delivering Brexit, but that it shouldn’t expect electoral rewards for simply doing its job.
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\n
If we think we can win the next election just by delivering something that we should have done anyway, we are absolutely kidding ourselves … Leaving the EU is the easy bit. We have got to reflect why so many people voted the way that they did.
\n
Just before the referendum most people rated the EU 7th or 8th on their list, they were more concerned about housing and immigration, the economy and infrastructure, investment and jobs. It’s those frustrations that which led to that historic decision.
\n
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Javid speaking at the launch of the Centre for Policy Studies collection of essays, Britain Beyond Brexit”,”caption”:”Sajid Javid speaking at the launch of the Centre for Policy Studies collection of essays, Britain Beyond Brexit”,”credit”:”Photograph: David Mirzoeff/PA”}}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”summary”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1560186466000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”13.07 EDT”,”blockLastUpdated”:1560186771000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”13.12 EDT”,”blockFirstPublished”:1560186771000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”13.12 EDT”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”13.12″,”title”:”Delivering Brexit alone will not be enough to ensure Tory victory at next election, says Javid”,”contributors”:[{“name”:”Poppy Noor”,”imageUrl”:”https://i.guim.co.uk/img/uploads/2018/01/16/Poppy-Noor.jpg?width=300&quality=85&auto=format&fit=max&s=6147029ad8ce8fba959cf8e20c8b9abb”,”largeImageUrl”:”https://i.guim.co.uk/img/uploads/2018/01/16/Poppy_Noor,_L.png?width=300&quality=85&auto=format&fit=max&s=b3d86a98bf69f7256e9773e890d035ff”}],”primaryDateLine”:”Mon 10 Jun 2019 17.31 EDT”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First published on Mon 10 Jun 2019 04.10 EDT”},{“id”:”5cfe8c458f0863265fe97306″,”elements”:[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
Cheryl Gillan, joint acting chairman of the 1922 Committee executive, is now reading out the names of the candidates who have had their nomination accepted. They are:
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Michael Gove
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Matthew Hancock
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Mark Harper
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Jeremy Hunt
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Sajid Javid
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Boris Johnson
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Andrea Leadsom
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Esther McVey
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Dominic Raab
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Rory Stewart
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Gillan says there are 10 valid nominations.
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The official 1922 Committee hustings will be tomorrow and on Wednesday, and the first ballot will be held on Thursday morning. The result will be announced at around 1pm on Thurday.
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We have had five Tory leadership launches today. Or at least four proper ones, and an Esther McVey event that was described as a leadership campaign launch, even though she has had one already. There are no obvious winners or losers, but some themes stand out. Here is my take on eight things we’ve learnt.
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1) Boris Johnson is dominating the campaign, despite being largely absent from it. The former foreign secretary is refusing to give broadcast interviews, and his campaigning consists of private talks with MPs, plus the odd intervention in friendly newspapers (mostly the Telegraph, which pays him handsomely for his column). Yet what has been striking today is how all the other contenders are defining themselves in opposition to him, by stressing the need for “serious” leadership or a “fresh” start etc.
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2) None of the leading candidates can persuasively explain how they will be able to succeed on Brexit where Theresa May failed. They have their various plans, but they are all versions of the same thing – trying to accept the EU to agree concessions on the backstop that it has already ruled out. It is impossible to say for sure that they will fail, but there is nothing that sounds like inviting the Conservative party to face up to difficult truths. Faisal Islam, Sky’s former political editor, says it is like a unicorn grand national.
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V odd this “race to be PM” from afar – tax plans that won’t pass this Parliament, Brexit “plans” that won’t pass Parliament, promise not to have GE – promises being made to tiny selectorate that aren’t in hands of winner to deliver…
It’s like a unicorn Grand National.
— Faisal Islam (@faisalislam) June 10, 2019
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Actually, probably more like a unicorn Grand National without dope tests… Narco-cism
— Faisal Islam (@faisalislam) June 10, 2019
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3) The leading contenders are also making promises on tax and spending that are extraordinarily cavalier for a party that prides itself on being able to manage the public finances properly. See what the Institute for Fiscal Studies has to say. See 2.48pm. To her credit, the only credit who has put foward a fully costed spending plan seems to be Esther McVey, the former work and pensions secretary. She would raise £7bn by cutting aid spending, and use the revenue to boost public sector pay, and spend more on the police and education.
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4) None of the candidates speaking today have been willing to defend Johnson’s plan to cut taxes for the wealthy. In fact, three of them – Matt Hancock, Dominic Raab and Michael Gove – criticised it directly. This may be a recognition that directing tax cuts at the most wealthy is impossible to justify in public, although that does not necessarily mean it won’t appeal to the Conservative members who will select the new leader. If you are looking for an analysis of quite how regressive Johnson’s plan is, this Resolution Foundation blog by Torsten Bell is good. It includes this chart.
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impact analysis of Boris Johnson’s proposed tax cut”,”caption”:”Distributional impact analysis of Boris Johnson’s proposed tax cut”,”credit”:”Photograph: Resolution Foundation”}},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
5) Michael Gove confirmed he is the most polished performer in the contest. Gove is the best debater in the Commons and, although his campaign is faltering and the pressure was obvious at his launch event, he was more eloquent than any of the other candidates, more willing to engage with media questions, and his policy programme was more extensive.
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6) Jeremy Hunt has has the most momentum. He probably had the best day. He has unveiled two important cabinet backers, Amber Rudd and Penny Mordaunt, and at his launch he looked like the favourite for the ABB (Anyone But Boris) slot. These are from the Independent’s John Rentoul.
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Updated chart of candidates and backers, broken down by Leave and Remain pic.twitter.com/aRvxTuacbe
— John Rentoul (@JohnRentoul) June 10, 2019
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Next Tory leader: chance implied by best odds
Boris Johnson 58% -9 since yesterday
Jeremy Hunt 20% +10
Andrea Leadsom 9% ±0
Michael Gove 4% -3
Sajid Javid 4% +2
Dominic Raab 3% ±0
Rory Stewart 3% ±0
Esther McVey 0.5% ±0
Matt Hancock 0.5% ±0https://t.co/ChMDVAlgvX— John Rentoul (@JohnRentoul) June 10, 2019
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7) Matt Hancock, the health secretary, has made the most quirky and optimistic pitch for the job. “I love people” was his declaration at one point, which may have sounded a bit new age and evangelical, but he came over as less arrogant and hard-edged than his rivals, and probably more likeable. In an odd passage about the need to use “emotionally charged” language (see 10.20am), he also sounded like someone who has thought quite hard how how mainstream politicians can take on populists. The reviews were mixed. The Independent’s Tom Peck was not impressed.
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This is flat out the weirdest political speech I’ve ever heard. Equal parts Brent and particularly mad The Apprentice candidate.
How is Matt Hancock going to solve Silicon Valley burning everything down?
“I offer an emotionally charged platform.” pic.twitter.com/DtZsbjjYVo
— Tom Peck (@tompeck) June 10, 2019
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But the Mail on Sunday’s Dan Hodges thought Hancock was onto something.
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People laughing at Matt Hancock saying he likes people. They should be reflecting on why a senior Conservative politician feels the need to spell it out.
— (((Dan Hodges))) (@DPJHodges) June 10, 2019
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Matt Hancock’s answer to a question about his “emotionally charged platform” was actually the best moment of his launch. Articulate and passionate argument of the need for moderates to use more than cold, intellectual arguments to make their case.
— (((Dan Hodges))) (@DPJHodges) June 10, 2019
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8) The Gove/Johnson relationship has turned nasty. It was all barbs and innuendo, but there was a bitter edge in the way that Gove spoke about Johnson today that we have not heard from him in public – at least since the moment in 2016 when he declared that he did not thing Johnson was fit to be PM. (Even then, the tone was a bit ‘more in sorrow than in anger’; today there was much more scorn coming through.) Potentially it could get even more unpleasant. The BBC’s Laura Kuenssberg has spoken to someone who thinks this could have the makings of a feud that could destabilise a future government.
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one very senior Tory is not backing either Johnson or Gove because of the vitriol between them – if one of them wins, the animosity btw them and the loser could 'destroy the next govt' they said – desperate to move on from the psychodrama https://t.co/pSB8Sq9gXl
— Laura Kuenssberg (@bbclaurak) June 10, 2019
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Sam Gyimah, the former minister who stood on a platform calling for a second referendum on Brexit, has dropped out of the Tory leadership contest. Presumably that is in recognition of the fact that he could not get eight people to back him publicly for the leadership, although he does not say that explicitly his his statement.
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My statement on the Conservative Party leadership contest. pic.twitter.com/Fm5sE4h7TI
— Sam Gyimah MP (@SamGyimah) June 10, 2019
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Gyimah recently told my colleague Rowena Mason that a growing number of Tory MPs could now see the case for a second referendum, but that they were not willing to say so in public.
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Andrew Adonis, the anti-Brexit Labour peer, said recently that Gyimah was the only candidate in the contest with a Brexit policy that was credible.
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Here are the main points from the Michael Gove campaign launch.
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- \n
- Michael Gove, the environment secretary, said the wealthy did not need another tax cut. In a clear dig at Boris Johnson, who used his Telegraph column today to call for tax cuts for the wealthy, he said:
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One thing I will never do as prime minister is to use our tax and benefits system to give the already wealthy another tax cut.
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It is not clear from this whether Gove was a) ruling any tax cuts that might benefit the rich (which would be tricky, because many general tax cuts, like a cut in the basic rate of income tax, benefit the rich and the poor, unless compensating measures are taken; b) ruling out any tax cuts specifically aimed at the wealthy; or c) saying tax cuts for the poor should take priority. The most probable interpretation is b), which is well beyond what Dominic Raab was promising (he went for c) this morning – see 1.23pm.) Assuming Gove did mean b), this is quite a bold promise for someone hoping to win a Tory leadership contest.
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- \n
- He said he would abolish business rates for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs).
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- \n
- He insisted his weekend confession about taking cocaine before he became an MP would not derail his campaign. Asked if it was time to give up, he replied:
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I’m in it to win it. The one thing that I would say is that there are some fantastic people in this room and, more than that, I’ve been told in the past that I couldn’t succeed.
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I was told when I led the Leave campaign ‘you’re only on 33% in the polls, you guys will tank, you’ll lose by a landslide’ and we won.
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I was told when I was education secretary ‘you’ll never be able to transform education in this country, it’s eluded every education secretary before you’, but we changed it.
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I was told when I arrived at the Department for the Environment ‘do you know what, it’s an impossible task to please all of these people – you’ll either end up upsetting business or losing the trust of green groups’ but actually we were able to bring business and green groups together.
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So, every time I’ve been given a job I’ve been told it’s impossible and have delivered.
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- \n
- He said that, although he wanted to deliver Brexit by 31 October, he would be willing to delay it if necessary. He said insisting on leaving the EU by the end of October even if that meant a no-deal Brexit could lead to the government losing a no confidence vote. He went on:
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There would be a vote of confidence in the House of Commons that the government would lose, there would be a general election. We would have Jeremy Corbyn in Downing Street by Christmas.
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So yes, I would be willing to delay for a day, or a week, or whatever is required to get that deal over the line if we were making progress.
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- \n
- He criticised Theresa May for triggering article 50 too early. He said:
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One of may concerns when I was out of government and on the backbenches is that we triggered article 50 without proper plan for Brexit. I have a proper plan to deliver Brexit.
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“,”elementId”:”201bc5d7-9341-4d73-bffa-cf272dd43683″},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
- \n
- He said there had been “misreporting” of the rules covering class A drug use by teachers when he was education secretary. “If someone had said that before they entered teaching they had made mistakes, that would be no bar,” he said. “There has been some misreporting about the way in which actually those terms apply to teachers.”
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- \n
- He repeatedly criticised or mocked Boris Johnson, who he mostly refused to refer to by name. As well as rejecting Johnson’s tax plan, Gove stressed his own-long term commitment to Euroscepticism (implying Johnson’s Brexit roots were shallow) and he depicted himself as serious (implying Johnson wasn’t). He even ended with some veiled innuendo about Johnson’s sexual proclivities – or, at least a line that was interpreted that way. This is from HuffPost’s Paul Waugh.
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Woah, Gove a lapse of judgement there. Sexual innuendo about Boris 'pulling out' is not exactly prime ministerial conduct. Sounded more like a student union line. For all his record, that kind of lapse may well worry MPs thinking of joining his campaign.
— Paul Waugh (@paulwaugh) June 10, 2019
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Gove launching his campaign.”,”caption”:”Michael Gove launching his campaign.”,”credit”:”Photograph: Neil Hall/EPA”}}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”summary”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1560178637000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”10.57 EDT”,”blockLastUpdated”:1560185675000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”12.54 EDT”,”blockFirstPublished”:1560181557000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”11.45 EDT”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”11.45″,”title”:”Michael Gove’s campaign launch – Summary”,”contributors”:[],”primaryDateLine”:”Mon 10 Jun 2019 17.31 EDT”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First published on Mon 10 Jun 2019 04.10 EDT”},{“id”:”5cfe66778f0863265fe970a8″,”elements”:[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
Gove says delivering Brexit will be a challenge.
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But he has faced challenges throughout his career.
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If the government delivers Brexit, this can be the best country in the world.
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He wants to bring people together, particularly in those overlooked families and undervalued communities so important for the Brexit vote.
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How would he do this?
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First, by putting the union first.
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He says he would have a unit in government making the interests of the union central to everything the government does.
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Second, he says, he would look at VAT, a regressive tax that hits the poor hardest.
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One thing he will never do as prime minister is use the tax and benefits system to give the already wealthy another tax cut. “The poor must come first,” he says.
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- \n
- Gove says the wealthy do not need any more tax cuts. It was not clear whether he just meant to say he would not prioritise tax cuts for the wealthy, or whether he was ruling out any tax cuts for the wealthy, but a literal reading of what he said would rule out any futher tax cuts for the wealthy. This is, obviously, an attempt to differentiate himself from Boris Johnson.
\n
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Michael Gove, the environment secretary, is about to launch his leadership campaign.
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These are from journalists at the launch.
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Queen blasting out “One Man, One Goal, One Mission,” as Michael Gove prepares to take to the stage. ‘Ready to Lead’
— steve hawkes (@steve_hawkes) June 10, 2019
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Michael Gove really channelling the festival vibe at his leadership launch – wristbands and Katy Perry (“Roar”) pumping through the loud speakers.
— Pippa Crerar (@PippaCrerar) June 10, 2019
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Last Tory leadership launch of the day. Michael Gove has the furthest to fall pic.twitter.com/RrrCWfgfWW
— Paris Gourtsoyannis (@thistlejohn) June 10, 2019
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Michael Gove’s wife, Sarah Vine, arrives at his campaign 🚀. Current (loud) soundtrack very school disco – Katy Perry, Justin Timberlake. My kids would approve. pic.twitter.com/vnuQgncXR7
— Heather Stewart (@GuardianHeather) June 10, 2019
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Just chatting to an MP supporter of Gove on the way in who says there is no way he’s dropping out, but concedes he needs some headlines that aren’t about cocaine – could mean some big pledges or eye catching rhetoric today
— Arj Singh (@singharj) June 10, 2019
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Education Sec @DamianHinds arrives to support Gove #ToryLeadershipContest
— Dominique Heckels (@Dominique_ITV) June 10, 2019
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In an article for the Times, reproduced on the IFS website, Paul Johnson, the director of the Institute for Fiscal Studies, says the plans for tax cuts and spending increases coming from Tory leadership candidates will horrify Whitehall. Here is an extract.
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Until this weekend the biggest I’d seen (again, I may have missed something) have come from Dominic Raab and Jeremy Hunt. The former wants to spend well in excess of £30bn a year on cutting income tax and national insurance contributions. That certainly would rule out any end of austerity on the spending side if he wanted to keep a lid on national debt, though perhaps he is after a more generally expansionary fiscal policy. If so, I don’t think he’s made that clear.
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Mr Hunt, on the other hand, has talked about dramatic increases in defence spending, saying that it should rise decisively as a fraction of national income. Each additional 1% costs £20bn a year. Again, whether he would fund this from higher taxes, higher borrowing or lower spending on health, education or something else he has not made clear. If we were to increase defence spending in this way, it would represent a dramatic break with recent decades. It is no exaggeration to say that continued falls in defence spending as a fraction of national income over a 60-year period have been central to allowing us to increase spending on health and other parts of the welfare state without significant rises in tax.
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Michael Gove has now entered the tax and spending fray, illustrating his continued lack of interest in the advice of experts by suggesting that he’d like to abolish VAT. This tax raises nearly £140bn a year. He’d like to replace it with a sales tax. That would be the biggest, riskiest and most disruptive change in the tax system in at least half a century. He might like to ask himself why the biggest global change in tax in recent decades has seen countries around the world moving in precisely the opposite direction, why every OECD country bar the United States and why 166 countries now have VAT.
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He has also been tweeting.
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Tax and spending promises by leadership candidates:
– Raab: £30bn+ tax cut;
– Hunt: £20bn+ more spending on defence;
– Johnson: £10bn tax cut;
– Gove: abolish VAT;
Me in @thetimes https://t.co/8JUzyfdPMl on lack of seriousness. What are their actual fiscal strategies?— Paul Johnson (@PJTheEconomist) June 10, 2019
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Claims that tax cuts are “funded” by headroom against borrowing target are absurd. They are funded by higher borrowing or by lower spending. That’s it.
— Paul Johnson (@PJTheEconomist) June 10, 2019
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Boris Johnson faces heavy pressure from the Scottish Tories to rethink his reported plans to raise the threshold for the 40p rate of income tax to £80,000, because it will heavily penalise middle earners in Scotland. (See 9.10am.)
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While Johnson’s allies appear to be rowing back on the pledge, the Telegraph reported on Monday morning he wants to slash income tax rates for up to 3 million higher earners taking home between £50,000 and £80,000 a year.
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He would partly fund that cut by increasing national insurance payments at 12% up to that new £80,000 ceiling, but that would have disastrous consequences in Scotland, fuelling suspicions Johnson has little interest in Scotland or its delicate constitutional status.
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Johnson appears to have forgotten that income tax rates are wholly devolved in Scotland and controlled by the Scottish National party government, which has set a new 41p rate which starts at £43,431, not the £50,000 in force in the rest of the UK. So no Scottish taxpayer would benefit from Johnson’s apparent largesse.
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In fact, they would pay more. Because of a loophole in the devolution settlement, national insurance rates are set at the UK level, which means any increase in NI rates to keep pace with new income tax bands in the rest of the UK has an adverse effect on Scottish taxpayers.
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In Scotland, because NI payments of 12% have a £50,000 ceiling to match tax rates in the rest of the UK, those earning between £43,431 and £50,000 already pay a higher marginal rate on those earnings of 53%.
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Johnson’s plans mean everyone in Scotland earning between £43,431 and £80,000 will pay a marginal tax rate of 53%. To make matters worse, none of the extra national insurance money generated would go into Scottish spending, a point seized on by the SNP.
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Angela Constance, an SNP MSP and former minister, said:
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Boris Johnson’s priorities are all wrong – and this latest wheeze is an appalling insight into the future of the country if he gets his way.
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Scottish taxpayers now face the prospect of paying for a tax cut for the likes of Boris Johnson and his cronies. That would be entirely indefensible – and is only likely to see a further rise in support for independence, which would give Scotland full powers over tax.
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Assuming Johnson pressed ahead with this, it would sabotage the Scottish Tories’ claims it is the low tax party in Scotland, putting paid to any lingering fantasy that party leader Ruth Davidson has of replacing Nicola Sturgeon as first minister.
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And here are the main points from the Jeremy Hunt launch.
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- Hunt, the foreign secretary, has implied that Boris Johnson’s Brexit policy could lead to the Tories being “annihilated” at the next general election. That would happen if Johnson’s promise to take the UK out of the EU by 31 October at the latest led to MPs opposed to no deal triggering an early general election, he said. (See 12.01pm.)
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- He claimed the EU would be willing to offer the UK an acceptable Brexit deal. EU leaders now accepted there could be no Brexit deal including the current backstop plan, he said. (See 12.07pm.)
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They understand that the backstop is not going to get through parliament.
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In an implicit dig at Johnson, Hunt said he was a “serious” leader who could get a deal done.
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This extremely serious moment calls for an experienced, serious leader.
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We need the art of tough negotiation, not the art of empty rhetoric.
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And faced with bad choices, we need a prime minister who can negotiate some better choices.
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Which is what I will strive to do with every fibre in my being because having talked to many European leaders I do believe that if we show determination, ingenuity and confidence, there is a deal to be done.
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- He said he would draw up a plan to abolish illiteracy. (See 12.03pm.)
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- He reaffirmed his commitment to increase defence spending – but without saying he wanted to double it, as he has done in the past. (See 12.04pm.)
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- He was introduced by Penny Mordaunt, the defence secretary, who said he had the experience, values and plan to deliver Brexit. She said:
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I trust him on Brexit because I have seen him in cabinet over the last year. It’s true he has credibility from all sides, but he also took a side. He fought for a deal but also knew that we had to leave no deal on the table to secure a good deal.
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Mordaunt’s endorsement is valuable partly because she is a leaver (Hunt voted remain), and partly because she is a well-regarded relative newcomer who was seen as a potential leadership candidate herself.
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Hunt launching his bid for the Tory leadership.”,”caption”:”Jeremy Hunt launching his bid for the Tory leadership.”,”credit”:”Photograph: Facundo Arrizabalaga/EPA”}}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”summary”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1560170132000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”08.35 EDT”,”blockLastUpdated”:1560176571000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”10.22 EDT”,”blockFirstPublished”:1560171693000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”09.01 EDT”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”09.01″,”title”:”Jeremy Hunt’s launch – Summary”,”contributors”:[],”primaryDateLine”:”Mon 10 Jun 2019 17.31 EDT”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First published on Mon 10 Jun 2019 04.10 EDT”},{“id”:”5cfe4cf78f0880dcae93bbee”,”elements”:[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
Esther McVey has officially launched her leadership bid with a speech to the ultra-Brexit Bruges Group in which she pledged to deliver no deal by not allowing MPs any votes on the departure process before the 31 October deadline.
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The former work and pensions secretary conceded she was “an outsider” to win, but said she had the eight MPs’ nominations needed to get on to the first stage of the ballot.
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The event, at a lecture theatre in Westminster, was disrupted briefly between her speech and the media Q&A when a man stormed the stage to yell that the people attending were “fake news”. It was not clear what he was objecting to, and he later left the venue.
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Asked how she would ensure her plan for a no-deal Brexit happened when MPs had previously opposed the idea, McVey – who has refused to rule out proroguing the chamber – said she would deny them any votes on the issue:
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The prime minister kept bringing motions back to the floor, and that allowed people to put amendments to it, that allowed what precipitated going forwards. And that’s when you saw the antics of Yvette Cooper and Oliver Letwin, turning parliament on its head.
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But that only happened because the prime minister kept bringing back motions to the floor of the house. So, really, we need to stop bringing things to the floor of the house, and the default position is to leave [the EU] through article 50.
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What has happened is that people who have wanted to deny the will of the people, they have done absolutely everything to do so. What I am now seeking to do is make sure, as a public servant, we deliver what the public were offered.
\n
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McVey speaks during the launch of her campaign for the Tory leadership”,”caption”:”Esther McVey speaks during the launch of her campaign for the Tory leadership.”,”credit”:”Photograph: Peter Nicholls/Reuters”}}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”summary”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1560169719000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”08.28 EDT”,”blockLastUpdated”:1560171454000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”08.57 EDT”,”blockFirstPublished”:1560169881000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”08.31 EDT”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”08.31″,”title”:”McVey says she would stop MPs voting to block no deal by not scheduling Commons votes”,”contributors”:[{“name”:”Peter Walker”,”imageUrl”:”https://i.guim.co.uk/img/static/sys-images/Guardian/Pix/contributor/2007/09/28/peter_walker_140x140.jpg?width=300&quality=85&auto=format&fit=max&s=99b0ad052fa1cddc8c72149e765880ca”}],”primaryDateLine”:”Mon 10 Jun 2019 17.31 EDT”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First published on Mon 10 Jun 2019 04.10 EDT”},{“id”:”5cfe3f7f8f08ff012e271a93″,”elements”:[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
Here are the main points from the Dominic Raab launch.
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- Raab said that he would prioritise tax cuts for the low paid, arguing that Boris Johnson’s plan for a tax cut for higher rate tax players would reinforce “the caricature that you’re the party of privilege and you are only in it to help the wealthy”. In his speech at the launch he said his priority would be to lift the national insurance threshold, taking the low paid out of tax altogether. He said:
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“,”elementId”:”597d3e8b-9e03-4d6f-9b68-5f65915e6880″},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.BlockquoteBlockElement”,”html”:”
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I believe capitalism is there to serve the innovative start-up.
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The striving worker who hasn’t had a pay rise in several years,
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And the hard-pressed consumer feeling the pinch of the cost of living.
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I want a fairer deal for workers.
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So, I’d raise the threshold for employee’s National Insurance, to take the lowest paid out of payroll taxes altogether – a pay rise for the nurse getting up at 5am to catch the bus to work,
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For the Dad flipping burgers until late saving to take his family on holiday.
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I want them to know that we’re on their side.
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“,”elementId”:”c51e41ef-d184-47d0-a803-859217277cf4″},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
This marks a shift by Raab. Earlier in the contest he called for the basic rate of income tax to be cut by up to 5p in the pound – a policy that would not benefit the very low paid, who tend not to pay income tax.
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'My tax cuts are for the very poorest in work and I think we need a generational change of leadership'
Dominic Raab is asked by @PaulBrandITV what he has that Boris Johnson hasn't got, as the former Brexit secretary launches his Tory leadership bid https://t.co/7zdOSfe5HB pic.twitter.com/Aroblu6IK9
— ITV News (@itvnews) June 10, 2019
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Now @DominicRaab blasts Boris Johnson's tax cut plan: "Can you imagine going to the Commons with a tax cut that will be characterised as protecting privilege?”
Adds Tories must go into Labour marginals and promise to lift poorest out of tax, rather than offering tax cut for rich— Pippa Crerar (@PippaCrerar) June 10, 2019
\n”},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
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- Raab described himself as “the conviction Brexiter with the plan”, suggesting that Johnson and his other rivals were just offering “bluff and bluster”. In his speech he said:
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We’re up against it, and we won’t get Brexit delivered with bluff and bluster.
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I’m the conviction Brexiteer with the plan, the discipline and the focus to lead us out by the end of October.
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I would return to Brussels and make a best final offer to replace the Backstop based on the Malthouse compromise, relying on technology, operational cooperation and global practice.
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With goodwill on all sides, it can be made to work in everyone’s interests.
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“,”elementId”:”e47d3beb-de02-4ea4-8ef8-b71eb5fcb031″},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
- \n
- He said he was not proposing any changes to abortion laws. In a dig at Jeremy Hunt, he said that his personal views on abortion was consistent with what he would push for as PM. (Hunt has said that he privately favours reducing the legal time limit for abortions from 24 weeks to 12 weeks, but he would not push for parliament to legislate for this.)
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Raab says he wouldn't change the law on abortion – "I tend to advocate things politically that I believe in my private life". Ducks a question about whether he would allow Maria Miller to convince him he's a feminist after all.
— Jane Merrick (@janemerrick23) June 10, 2019
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- Raab said he did not think Michael Gove should quit the leadership contest because of his admission about taking cocaine before he became an MP.
\n
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Raab launching his bid to become the leader of the Conservative party”,”caption”:”Dominic Raab launching his bid to become the leader of the Conservative party
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Hunt is now taking questions.
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Q: You say you are serious. Is there anyone in the contest who is not serious?
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Hunt says, if the UK wants a deal, it will have to engage seriously with Brussels. He thinks there is a deal to be done. He says what has changed is that the EU now understands the backstop will not get through parliament. He thinks they did not accept that before.
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- \n
- Hunt claims EU leaders now accept the Brexit deal cannot include the current backstop plan.
\n
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Hunt says he has a five-point plan for young people.
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How can the party of aspiration turn its backs on our most aspirational people?
\n
So yesterday I published five pledges for young people.
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Mental health support in every school and a crackdown on social media companies that promote self-harm.
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A cut in the interest rate paid on tuition fees.
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1.5m new homes for young people.
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Pollution-free cities in 10 years.
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And help for graduate entrepreneurs.
\n
I want young people everywhere to know that a Conservative government is there for you.
\n
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Hunt says he would draw up a plan to abolish illiteracy.
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\n
Not the 50% of school leavers who go to university and generally get an excellent education. But the 50% who don’t.
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Too many of them leave education unable to read or add up properly and without the qualifications to get a well-paid job.
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So I will negotiate a long-term plan with the teaching profession: more funding in return for a guarantee that we will be the first generation to abolish illiteracy and ensure no one leaves our education system without a rigorous qualification sufficient to work up to at least the average salary.
\n
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Turning to Brexit, Hunt says he is someone who has been negotiating his whole life.
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\n
I’ve always said I would be prepared to leave without a deal if there was a straight choice between no deal and no Brexit. But I would do so with a heavy heart because of the risks to businesses and the unions.
\n
And I would not do so if a deal that commands the support of parliament was in sight.
\n
But parliament has made clear its intentions to take no deal off the table no matter what the new prime minister says or does.
\n
So without a deal any prime minister who promised to leave by a certain date would have to call a general election to change the parliamentary arithmetic. An election we would lose badly.
\n
Because the lessons of the European and Peterborough elections are clear: if we fight an election before delivering Brexit, we will be annihilated.
\n
Squeezed by the Brexit party on the right and the Lib Dems on the left we simply allow Labour through the middle.
\n
And if that happened nationally it would be the end of Brexit. Because whatever else a Labour government did – and I worry about all of it – it would never deliver Brexit.
\n
So we need to get real. We are facing a constitutional crisis.
\n
Our new prime minister will still preside over a hung parliament.
\n
This extremely serious moment calls for an experienced, serious leader.
\n
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- \n
- Hunt implies Boris Johnson’s Brexit policy could lead to the Tories being “annihilated” at an early general election. Hunt describes himself as a “serious leader”, in implicit contrast to Johnson.
\n
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2019 The Associated Press. All rights reserved”,”alt”:”Jeremy Hunt launching his leadership campaign for the Conservative party”,”caption”:”Jeremy Hunt launching his leadership campaign for the Conservative party”,”credit”:”Photograph: Matt Dunham/AP”}}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”summary”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1560164248000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”06.57 EDT”,”blockLastUpdated”:1560165769000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”07.22 EDT”,”blockFirstPublished”:1560164511000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”07.01 EDT”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”07.01″,”title”:”Hunt implies Boris Johnson’s Brexit policy could lead to Tories being ‘annihilated’ at early general election”,”contributors”:[],”primaryDateLine”:”Mon 10 Jun 2019 17.31 EDT”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First published on Mon 10 Jun 2019 04.10 EDT”},{“id”:”5cfe35028f08ff012e271a05″,”elements”:[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
Penny Mordaunt, the Brexiter defence secretary who at one point had been expected to stand herself, is now speaking at the Jeremy Hunt launch.
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She says the next Tory leader faces a huge task.
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My name will be on Jeremy Hunt’s nomination papers today,
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She says she Hunt has the experience, values and plan to deliver Brexit.
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She says he took a side. But he argued we had to keep no-deal on the table to get a deal.
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And she has seen him deliver on other issues too, she says. He delivered extra funding for the NHS. She has seen him succeed at the Foreign Office.
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And Hunt has the “humility” to know that there will be people who did not vote Tory who are watching the party find a new leader. The party has to be aware of them, she implies.
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And she says, as defence secretary, security is particularly important. She say she trusts him on this.
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(Hunt’s pledge to double defence spending has clearly paid off.)
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Amber Rudd, the work and pensions secretary, is introducing Jeremy Hunt at his campaign launch. She says she has concluded that he is the “outstanding candidate” in the contest.
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She says she has known Hunt since she came into politics. She knows him as a man of decency and integrity.
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Q: What can you offer that Boris Johnson can’t?
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Raab says he does not want to speak ill of any candidate.
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But it is time for a change, he says.
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And he says he can help the Tories win support from low-income voters because he will prioritise them with his tax cuts. People will not be able to say the Tories only care about the privileged, he says.
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He also says it would be hard for Boris Johnson’s tax cut to get through the Commons.
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He says his plan is the right thing to do, and the smart thing to do.
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- \n
- Raab says Boris Johnson’s tax plan suggests Tories only care about the wealthy.
\n
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Raab says the Labour party has a point about people feeling that capitalism does not work for them.
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He says he wants to ensure that capitalism works for the little guy.
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And he says he is “on the side of the lowest paid, not the wealthy”. He would raise the national insurance threshold, he says, taking the lowest paid out of tax altogether. This would benefit someone like the nurse getting up at 5am for work, he says.
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- \n
- Raab claims he would prioritise tax cuts for the lowest paid.
\n
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Previously Raab has called for the basic rate of income tax to be cut by up to 5p in the pound – a policy that would not benefit the very low paid, who tend not to pay income tax.
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Raab launching his bid for the Tory leadership”,”caption”:”Dominic Raab launching his bid for the Tory leadership”,”credit”:”Photograph: Neil Hall/EPA”}}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”summary”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1560161869000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”06.17 EDT”,”blockLastUpdated”:1560165877000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”07.24 EDT”,”blockFirstPublished”:1560162195000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”06.23 EDT”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”06.23″,”title”:”Raab claims he would prioritise tax cuts for the lowest paid”,”contributors”:[],”primaryDateLine”:”Mon 10 Jun 2019 17.31 EDT”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First published on Mon 10 Jun 2019 04.10 EDT”},{“id”:”5cfe2baf8f08ff012e2719ab”,”elements”:[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
Dominic Raab, the former Brexit secretary, is speaking at his campaign launch now.
“,”elementId”:”22042bd9-5035-48a9-84bf-92d56029db1a”},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
He says Britain has suffered a lose of nerve. It has been “humiliated” in the Brexit talks.
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If the Tories fail, Jeremy Corbyn will become prime minister, he says. He says Corbyn is someone who has given succour to racists.
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The country needs new leadership, he says.
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He says the Tories want to move on from Brexit.
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But, on Brexit, he says as Brexit secretary he turned up in Brussels every week and told Michel Barnier and his team things they did not want to hear.
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He says, if the UK had had a united team, it would have already left the UK on acceptable terms.
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He says the UK will not deliver Brexit on “bluff and bluster”. He will deliver Brexit. He is the “Brexiteer you can rely on”, he says.
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(This is a dig at Boris Johnson.)
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Raab says he would go to Brussels and demand a Brexit based on the Malthouse compromise.
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The Malthouse Compromise is named after housing minister Kit Malthouse, who brokered cross-party talks between Brexiters and former remainers on a possible way out of the Brexit impasse.
The result involves redrafting the backstop arrangement for the Irish border which is so unpopular with Conservative Eurosceptic MPs and the Democratic Unionist party, which props up the government.
It would also extend the transition period, set out under the previously negotiated withdrawal agreement, until the end of 2021. The extension is designed to give extra time to agree a new trading relationship.
Under the plan, the backstop would be replaced with a free trade agreement with as yet unknown technology to avoid customs checks on the Irish border.
If the attempt to renegotiate the backstop fails, the Malthouse compromise proposes what amounts to a managed no deal.
The PM would ask the EU to honour the extended transition period, in return for agreeing the £39bn divorce bill and its commitments on EU citizens’ rights. This would give both sides time to prepare for departure on WTO terms at the end of 2021 – or to negotiate a different deal.
The compromise is backed by the DUP, the European Research Group of hard Tory Brexiters, and former remainers including Nicky Morgan. However, the EU has repeatedly stated that the terms of the Withdrawal Agreement are not open for renegotiation
“},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
And he would insist on collective responsibility in government, he says. This has been missing for “far too long”.
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Here are the main points from Matt Hancock’s launch.
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- \n
- Hancock, the health secretary, implicitly criticised Boris Johnson’s tax cut plan by saying that all candidates should show how they would reduce the deficit, that any tax cuts should be for everyone, and that they should only be introduced “when we can afford it”. (See 10.37am.)
\n
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Hancock takes swipe at Boris Johnson, stressing he would only cut taxes “when we can afford it”
— Tom Rayner (@RaynerSkyNews) June 10, 2019
\n”},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
- \n
- He rejected claims that the Tories had to have a Brexiter as leader, saying if they just became a Brexit party, they would be finished.
\n
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Hancock sums up his final pitch: “Some people say we need a Brexiteer, I think that’s getting it completely the wrong way round…we need to deliver Brexit…if we just become the Brexit Party we are finished… we don’t need a leaver, we need a leader”
— Tom Rayner (@RaynerSkyNews) June 10, 2019
\n”},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
- \n
- He criticised Dominic Raab for not ruling out proroguing parliament to facilitate a no-deal Brexit. Commenting on Brexit, he said:
\n
“,”elementId”:”4ea5c6fb-b6bb-403c-8fbc-c730f8ae77ec”},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.BlockquoteBlockElement”,”html”:”
\n
My Brexit delivery plan is the only credible plan that can deliver Brexit by the 31st of October with the support both of the European Union and the House of Commons – that is just the reality of the situation.
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Some have said ‘stick with the current plan’, but the current plan has been seen to fail.
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Others say ‘let’s just run at no deal’, but the brutal truth is we know that no deal will not get through the House of Commons.
\n
And then there’s this idea from some people that to deliver Brexit we should suspend our parliamentary democracy – that we should prorogue parliament.
\n
But that goes against everything that those men who waded on to those beaches [on D-day] fought and died for, and I will not have it.
\n
“,”elementId”:”d32e56f4-2416-402f-9341-fd3c90c828f9″},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
- \n
- He described himself as a “fresh start” candidate with the mantra “move fast and make things happen”. (See 10.11am and 10.20am.)
\n
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- \n
- He rejected populism but said it was important for politicians to be able to described their ideas in “emotionally charged” language. (See 10.20am.)
\n
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Hancock at the launch of his leadership campaign.”,”caption”:”Matt Hancock at the launch of his leadership campaign.”,”credit”:”Photograph: Tolga Akmen/AFP/Getty Images”}}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”summary”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1560160220000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”05.50 EDT”,”blockLastUpdated”:1560164487000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”07.01 EDT”,”blockFirstPublished”:1560161081000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”06.04 EDT”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”06.04″,”title”:”Hancock says any Tory tax cuts must be affordable in swipe at Johnson”,”contributors”:[],”primaryDateLine”:”Mon 10 Jun 2019 17.31 EDT”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First published on Mon 10 Jun 2019 04.10 EDT”},{“id”:”5cfe1f138f0895eae9513bd0″,”elements”:[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
Here is another extract from Hancock’s speech, released by his campaign team in advance overnight. (The ellipses [dots] are from the original text.)
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\n
The mantra of Silicon Valley is “move fast and break things”.
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But things that really matter are starting to break.
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Like our sense of national community.
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The self esteem of children.
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The possibility of civilised debate.
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Our sense of relevance and meaning and belonging in a world of algorithms and machines.
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In their place come the threat of automation.
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Poor mental health.
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Angry ideologies clashing on social media …
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… dividing communities, unpicking the fabric of our Union.
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And while liberal ideas defeated both fascism and communism in the last century …
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…. it’s clear that today our collective faith in the liberal story is being challenged by massive disruption.
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We can’t allow this sane, sensible country to enter a new age of nihilism and narrow nationalism.
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So I refuse to be the leader offering simplistic or populist solutions to such profound change.
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Instead, an emotionally charged platform to improve lives, rooted in objective fact.
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Some people say these changes are too big and too inevitable for us to do anything about it.
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I say no.
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We are masters of our own destiny.
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We can win this fight.
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Ultimately, the success of liberal democracy and our way of life depends on it.
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We can and must work with this change, master it, bend it to our benefit.
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Not “move fast and break things” – that’s wrong.
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My mantra is “move fast and make things happen”.
\n
“,”elementId”:”dbe0d1f9-390e-45d9-85e7-c3a319e903da”}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”summary”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1560157971000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”05.12 EDT”,”blockLastUpdated”:1560164679000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”07.04 EDT”,”blockFirstPublished”:1560158417000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”05.20 EDT”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”05.20″,”title”:”Hancock says ‘move fast and make things happen’ is his mantra”,”contributors”:[],”primaryDateLine”:”Mon 10 Jun 2019 17.31 EDT”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First published on Mon 10 Jun 2019 04.10 EDT”},{“id”:”5cfe1cf68f08ff012e271923″,”elements”:[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
Matt Hancock, the health secretary, is speaking at his campaign launch.
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He says, although politics is not working, in other areas of life people are finding solutions to the problems facing the country. Millennials are more likely to start a business than people from any other generation, he says.
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He says there are just 60m people in Britain. But they produce the music listened to by 6bn people around the world.
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But the dark clouds over Westminster this morning (the weather is a bit grim in London) is a metaphor, he says. Underneath the dark clouds, Britain is a great country.
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He says he is standing because this country needs a “fresh start”.
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He says he is an optimist. He believes the world is getting better.
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“I love people,” he says. He says, if you look inside everyone’s heart, there is something of value.
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\n
Every single person, every person in this room, each and every one of you, everyone has something to give.
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And it’s the role of government to unlock that potential and allow people to fly as high as their aspirations can take them.
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Now not everyone believes this.
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But I know, I know, that if you look inside the heart of every person there is something of value, and it’s our job to help them release it.
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And that’s what politics should be: at the service of people.
\n
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He says people alive today are less likely to be involved in war than at any time in the past.
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And he says, if asked when they would like to be alive, people would choose now – because life is better than it was in the past.
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John McDonnell, the shadow chancellor, has criticised Boris Johnson for proposing a tax cut that would beneft the wealthy. In a statement he said:
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With our schools, care for the elderly and our police services at breaking point, Boris Johnson’s proposals to give a tax cut to high earners reveals how out of touch the Tories are. As predicted the Tory leadership contest is becoming a race to the bottom in tax cuts.
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Labour will put the responsibility for repairing our public services on the Top 5% and corporations, not add to the handouts the government has already given the richest in society.
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In an interview on the Today programme this morning Paul Johnson, the director of the Institute for Fiscal Studies, said that Boris Johnson’s plan for a tax cut for high earners would be particularly advantageous to wealthy pensioners. He explained:
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What [Johnson] has said is that he wants to raise the point at which you start to pay higher rate tax to £80,000. But at the same time, and this does make sense, you would increase the national insurance ceiling to the same level. So the net cost would be in the order of £10bn a year. That’s obviously a lot of money. It helps the 10% highest earners. And it is worth saying that the group who would benefit the most would be the high-income pensioners who don’t pay national insurance at all. So there’s a particular group who do particularly well – that’s those over the age of state pension age with more than £80,000 a year.
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By remarkable coincidence, wealthy pensioners are disproportionately represented amongst the Conservative party membership, the group that will select the next leader. According to a study of party membership published last year (pdf) by academics from the Mile End Institute, the average age of Conservative party members is 57 and 44% of them are above the age of 65. The same study says 86% of members are social class ABC1 (ie, middle class).
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Clay”,”alt”:”IFS director Paul Johnson”,”caption”:”IFS director Paul Johnson”,”credit”:”Photograph: Felix Clay/The Guardian”}}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”summary”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1560155681000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”04.34 EDT”,”blockLastUpdated”:1560156553000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”04.49 EDT”,”blockFirstPublished”:1560156553000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”04.49 EDT”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”04.49″,”title”:”Wealthy pensioners would gain most from Boris Johnson’s proposed tax cut, says IFS”,”contributors”:[],”primaryDateLine”:”Mon 10 Jun 2019 17.31 EDT”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First published on Mon 10 Jun 2019 04.10 EDT”},{“id”:”5cfe13dc8f0895eae9513b6d”,”elements”:[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
Here are some more lines from Andrea Leadsom’s interview on the Today programme this morning.
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- Leadsom hinted that Michael Gove’s admission that he took cocaine before he became an MP disqualified him from being the next Tory leader. Asked if she thought it was appropriate for him to remain a candidate given this admission, she declined to say yes. Instead she said questions like this were “a matter for each individual”. And she went on:
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I certainly think that we need to ensure that we continue with our very strict drug policies in this country.
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I think it does untold harm to young people – not only drug-taking, but also getting caught up in some of the drug crime, and gang crime. And I think it’s a grave concern for all politicians.
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- \n
- Leadsom insisted she would get enough support (the backing of eight other MPs) to be on the ballot in the first round of voting on Thursday.
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- She defended her plan to push for a so-called “managed no-deal”, saying the withdrawal agreement was dead. She said:
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The withdrawal agreement is dead. It’s been tested three times in parliament.
\n
There’s no way that’s going to go through.
\n
So, what I’m proposing is is a three-step plan to a managed exit.
\n
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Getty Images”,”alt”:”Andrea Leadsom”,”caption”:”Andrea Leadsom”,”credit”:”Photograph: Dan Kitwood/Getty Images”}}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”summary”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1560155100000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”04.25 EDT”,”blockLastUpdated”:1560169526000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”08.25 EDT”,”blockFirstPublished”:1560155525000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”04.32 EDT”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”04.32″,”title”:”Leadsom steps up pressure on Gove over cocaine admission”,”contributors”:[],”primaryDateLine”:”Mon 10 Jun 2019 17.31 EDT”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First published on Mon 10 Jun 2019 04.10 EDT”},{“id”:”5cfe06db8f084466bb196e54″,”elements”:[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
Over the next fortnight the Conservative parliamentary party will decide which of the 11 candidates who say there are still running to replace Theresa May as prime minister (and anyone else who joins the contest in the next eight hours) will be on the shortlist of two that gets put to a ballot of members. Given the fact that Boris Johnson has established himself as the runaway favourite (partly by being uncharacteristically organised, and partly because the many Tory MPs who have strong reservations about him have given up hope of trying to block him because they have concluded that his victory is inevitable), the real contest is probably the one to establish who will be up against him.
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Six candidates have already passed the threshold (the backing of eight other Tory MPs) needed to ensure they are on the ballot for the first round of voting by MPs on Thursday. They are (with the number of backers according to the latest ConservativeHome tally in brackets):
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Boris Johnson (61)
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Michael Gove (34)
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Jeremy Hunt (34)
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Dominic Raab (24)
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Sajid Javid (19)
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Matthew Hancock (12)
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We will find out today whether the other five have made it. They are:
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Mark Harper (7)
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Esther McVey (6)
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Rory Stewart (6)
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Sam Gyimah (4)
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Andrea Leadsom (4)
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Today four candidates are formally launching their campaigns.
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But the headlines this morning have been dominated by Johnson, who has been almost invisible in public in recent weeks (avoiding interviews and media scrutiny is a classic frontrunner’s tactic) but who has used the Daily Telegraph today to propose a massive tax cut for high earners. Rowena Mason has the details here.
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In an interview on the Today programme, one of Johnson’s rivals, the Brexiter former leader of the Commons Andrea Leadsom, said there was no chance of this plan getting through the Commons ahead of a general election. She explained:
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I’m certainly a low-tax Conservative, I want to see people getting to keep more of their hard-earned income. But the reality is, having been leader of the Commons for the last two years, there is a raft of just secondary legislation sitting in abeyance because we don’t have the parliamentary numbers to get any chances through, even quite modest changes in costs of things, chargers for things. So I think in reality in this parliament it would be impossible to get actual wholesale tax changes through.
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Here is the agenda for the day.
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10am: Matt Hancock, the health secretary, formally launches his campaign for the Conservative leadership.
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11am: Jeremy Hunt, the foreign secretary, formally launches his campaign.
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11am: Dominic Raab, the former Brexit secretary, formally launches his campaign.
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1pm: Sajid Javid, Penny Mordaunt, Hancock, Raab and George Freeman speech at the launch of a collection of essays, Britain Beyond Brexit, published by the Centre for Policy Studies, a conservative thinktank.
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2.30pm: Sajid Javid, the home secretary, takes questions in the Commons.
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2.50pm: Michael Gove, the environment secretary, formally launches his campaign.
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5pm: Nominations for the Conservative leadership close. About an hour or so later the Conservative backbench 1922 Committee will announce how many candidates have got enough support (the backing of eight other MPs) to be allowed to enter the first ballot.
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As usual, I will be covering breaking political news as it happens, as well as bringing you the best reaction, comment and analysis from the web, although I will be focusing mostly on the Tory leadership contest. I plan to post a summary when I wrap up at the end of the day.
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You can read all the latest Guardian politics articles here. Here is the Politico Europe round-up of this morning’s political news. And here is the PoliticsHome list of today’s top 10 must-reads.
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If you want to follow me or contact me on Twitter, I’m on @AndrewSparrow.
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I try to monitor the comments below the line (BTL) but it is impossible to read them all. If you have a direct question, do include “Andrew” in it somewhere and I’m more likely to find it. I do try to answer questions, and if they are of general interest, I will post the question and reply above the line (ATL), although I can’t promise to do this for everyone.
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If you want to attract my attention quickly, it is probably better to use Twitter.
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Key events
Jedidajah Otte
This from my colleague Heather Stewart:
All the fun jousting aside, Tom Kibasi from the Institute for Public Policy Research (IPPR) shares Michael Gove’s belief that it’s ultimately between Gove and Boris Johnson.
I’m going to wrap up now. Goodnight everyone.
This just in from Sky’s Beth Rigby:
These ‘92 Group endorsements are in stark contrast to the wider party, as the Independent’s John Rentoul has just shared:
Leadership contender Rory Stewart, the international development secretary, who will launch his campaign tomorrow, has accused rival candidates of having made “reckless” tax and spending pledges.
This from the Press Association:
[Stewart] said the “eye-watering” cost of his rivals’ promises risked undermining the party’s reputation for economic prudence.
According to figures released by Mr Stewart’s campaign team, Dominic Raab is the biggest spender so far with 38.2 billion of tax cuts promised.
They include raising the national insurance threshold to 12,500, scrapping stamp duty on homes under 500,000, and a 5p cut in the basic rate of income tax.
He was followed by Michael Gove, whose promise to scrap VAT and replace it with a lower and simpler sales tax was put at 20 billion.
Boris Johnson’s plan to raise the 40% tax threshold from 50,000 to 80,000 was said to cost 14.1 billion, Jeremy Hunt’s promise to cut corporation tax to 12.5% was put at 11 billion, and Sajid Javid’s suggestion he could scrap the top rate of tax was put at 700,000.
In all, Mr Stewart said their commitments added up to 84 billion.
“We must restore – for Britain and for the Conservative Party – our reputation for economic and fiscal prudence. We simply cannot make spending and tax cut promises that we can’t keep,” he said. “This number – of total spending promises by other candidates in this campaign – is eye-watering. We have to be straight with people, truthful on Brexit, and truthful on spending. “We cannot criticise Jeremy Corbyn for reckless spending pledges if we start doing the same ourselves. Cheap electoral bribes could cost us dear. Our members are smarter than this.”Mr Stewart said he would use the fiscal “headroom” from a “good” Brexit deal to invest in education and infrastructure, while borrowing to fund marketable assets such as houses as part of a drive to build two million new homes.
Dominic Raab, whose leadership campaign slogan is “For a fairer Britain”, just posted a video of his Q&A session earlier on Twitter. Asked what exactly he hoped to achieve in regard to the withdrawal agreement, Raab said he planned “a targeted forensic change to the backstop”, and that he was “absolutely committed” to leaving “on WTO-terms” if that wouldn’t bring the deal through the House of Commons.
My colleague Jessica Elgot has written up how that PLP meeting went for Jeremy Corbyn tonight. Spoiler alert: apparently not very well.
And here we have what looks like a plot twist, served hot by the BBC’s Iain Watson:
Here is my colleague Polly Toynbee’s take on the final ten in the Tory den:
The Conservative MP Lucy Allan has endorsed Sajid Javid’s leadership bid.
A very good thread by Sky’s Lewis Goodall on the very different treatments Michael Gove and Boris Johnson have enjoyed in the aftermath of their respective cocaine-gates.
My colleagues Rowena Mason and Jessica Elgot on Jeremy Hunt’s very successful first day in the leadership battle – which has propelled him to second place in the race.
And here some impressions from the PLP gathering from BuzzFeed’s Hannah Al-Othman:
BBC political editor Laura Kuenssberg on the PLP meeting:
Meanwhile, things at that PLP meeting seem to have escalated somewhat.
My colleague Jessica Elgot reports a greatly charged atmosphere and protests from members against Jeremy Corbyn’s request that Labour staff and cabinet ministers be not criticised in public.
This from the Times’ Patrick Kidd on former defence secretary Michael Fallon’s endorsement of Boris Johnson:
This from the Sun’s James Forsyth:
Caroline Lucas, Green MP for Brighton Pavilion, has also found blistering words to express the dismay the leadership contest is causing her:
We now face nearly two months of political paralysis while we are all subjected to the spectacle of Conservative party infighting. While that is going on, nothing will happen to address the real concerns of people in Britain over public services, the security of their jobs or the climate crisis.
The hypocrisy over drug-taking has been quite sickening. That’s matched only by the shamelessness of candidates throwing a few right-wing policy bones to the Conservative party membership, like tax cuts for the better-off, in the hope of buying their support.
The comments coming from some leadership contenders on how they would get round parliamentary opposition to a No Deal Brexit are deeply worrying, and show a contempt for parliamentary sovereignty and the democratic process in Britain.
When the UK was given a few months extension on the Brexit deadline, the EU warned us to use the time well. This precious time is not being well spent.
According to the BBC’s Laura Kuenssberg, David Lidington is backing Matt Hancock in the Tory leadership race.
This development seems to have stunned quite a few people. The Telegraph’s Christopher Hope has seized the opportunity to make a dig at Jeremy Hunt, who has had a rather successful day and is, as of today, one of the most dangerous contenders for Boris Johnson.